With summer 2019-20 fast approaching, we’ll use the refresher on the two core components of risk (probability and consequence) to unpick what the real issue is with respect to concerns about overheating electricity supplies this summer, especially in the Victorian region.
A simple refresher on two core components that combine in order to define risk – probability and consequence.
AEMO releases its Electricity Statement of Opportunities today, with an initial flurry of press coverage. Another reminder of heightened risk that the NEM is increasingly facing…
A few additional thoughts about proposed changes to the MT PASA process, informed by our conclusions in Theme 14 within Part 2 of our Generator Report Card.
Integral to the 530-page Generator Report Card is the (approx) 170 pages of detailed analysis we have included on top of the the 328-page Statistical Digest. In this analytical component, the primary authors (with assistance from a broader range of…
Some thoughts about some important questions we should be asking, to follow on from AGL’s announcement last Friday in relation to Torrens A (linked to Barkers Inlet and Loy Yang A2) and also about Liddell.
Following on from Paul’s article on Queensland, this post examines the summer outlook for the other mainland NEM regions, drawing from some key AEMO publications and datasources, namely: the Electricity Statement of Opportunities (ESOO) published in August this year AEMO’s Summer…
Guest author, Allan O’Neil, follows up a post in September (reviewing what the AEMO’s ESOO was saying about summer 2017-18) with this review of updated data
Our guest author, Allan O’Neil, poses a number of questions about the recently proposed “National Energy Guarantee” (NEG)
A brief explainer of what “Unserved Energy” (or USE) actually means, in the context of the AEMO “Electricity Statement of Opportunities 2017” (ESOO) released this week.
Continuing the theme of investigating peak metrics over summer 2014-15, today we look at peak wind output (aggregate across the NEM).
What do the forecasts received for peak NSW demand this summer tell us about the various debates currently underway in terms of network regulation and industry transformation?
Some tips about how you can use NEM-Watch v9 to narrow down your entry to Competition #2 this summer (peak QLD Regional Scheduled Dispatch Demand Target for extended summer period)
In parallel with the RET Review process, claims and counter claims are mounting about challenges to security of supply, moving forwards. Here are some initial thoughts…
Second article by Paul Taliangis (of Core Energy) looking at some of the broader changes at work in the NEM.
A hypothetical case of what production patterns from wind might look like through a year with increased installed capacity of wind farms.
Some further analysis of the MT PASA and ST PASA forecasts for other regions of the NEM (SA, TAS, NSW and QLD) for the day of 29th January 2009 – when a new record NEM-wide demand was established.
A quick look at how useful NEMMCO’s PASA forecasts were, prior to the record levels of demand seen across the NEM on Thursday 29th January 2009