Articles by Allan O'Neil

The boundary effect

NEM demand tragic and occasional WattClarity guest author Allan O'Neil drills into an apparent discrepancy in AEMO's demand calculations following the 1 July 2026 transition of the Basslink interconnector from MNSP market participant to Regulated status.


Still air, empty tanks and a hot joint

Guest author, Allan O'Neil, goes into some detail of exploring the various factors contributing to the price volatility in South Australia that bookended the night of Sunday 21th June into Monday 22nd June 2026.


Semi-dispatch caps are loading the deviation dice

Following a growing number of articles on WattClarity about “VRE under-performance dragging frequency down”, guest author Allan O'Neil takes a look at how the one sided nature of the SDC plays a role - and suggests a possible action that would help.


Runway cost allocation – ready for liftoff?

Allan O'Neil unpacks a proposal under consideration by the AEMC to apply “runway” cost allocation to contingency FCAS, explaining how this could materially change who pays for frequency security in the NEM.



Some remarks on Victorian demand

Allan O'Neil takes a closer look at Victorian electricity demand on Sunday, February 2nd — which stood out as an unprecedented anomaly when looking at the history of weekend demand in the region.




Watt scarcity?

Guest author Allan O'Neil examines some recent episodes of price volatility (particularly 30th July to 5th August 2024) and whether they were driven by a shortage of supply, or other factors.



Missing megawatts and phantom generation

Seven days ago, AEMO notified the market of a Scheduling Error from 24th Jan 2024 to 7th March 2024. A client asked us what it meant - so guest author Allan O'Neil has helped to explore and explain.





Summer 2023-24 demand – high or low?

Inspired (or provoked) by Paul's earlier article noting 'NEM-wide demand has been quite low through summer 2023-24 (at least to date)', guest author Allan O'Neil takes a look at how aggregate consumption stacks up for this summer, compared to prior.



What’s happening around Wagga?

Guest author, Allan O'Neil, takes a detailed look at how VIC1-NSW1 transfer capability has been limited frequently due to constraints related to the 051 line in southern NSW, and what it means in terms of inter-regional settlements residue accumulations, market efficiency overall, and the energy...



Stock up on candles?

Last Thursday (31st Aug 2023) the AEMO published the ESOO 2023, including forecasts of some possibility of unserved energy in Victoria and South Australia this coming summer 2023-24 (above the Interim Reliability Measure). Guest author Allan O'Neil takes a look.


Too Early to Say?

Guest author, Allan O'Neil, publishes some analysis for WattClarity on price and generation mix changes apparent in the NEM coincident with (but not wholly caused by) the closure of the last remaining units at Liddell Power Station.