Market volatility on Monday 27th June 2022
The price has been spiking on Monday evening 27th June 2022.
Articles by Paul McArdle
One of three founders of Global-Roam back in 2000, Paul has been CEO of the company since that time.
As an author on WattClarity, Paul's focus has been to help make the electricity market more understandable.
Two alternate theories of why capacity was withdrawn
Second (linked) article this evening, spelling out the two theories we’re aware of with respect to why some participants might have withdrawn capacity from the NEMDE dispatch/pricing run in June 2022 – leading to the AEMO Suspending the Market.
Quick review of bids – looking back 16 days over APC and Market Suspension
With Market Suspension (just) behind us, in this weekend article we take a look over the past 16 days to see how volumes offered to the market from the two types of plant have varied … and the prices they are offered at. The question is asked … why did those DUIDs withdraw capacity from the NEMDE dispatch and pricing run?
Eighteen month trend of daily average spot prices highlights extreme volatility in Q2 2022
The unsuspension of the market is a useful time to reflect on ‘how we got here’ … starting with this 18-month trend of daily average spot prices.
AEMO estimates RERT payments on Tue 14th, Wed 15th and Fri 17th June 2022
A brief synopsis of the costs AEMO estimates it paid for Reserve Trader in the recent period around Market Suspension.
Market Suspension to end at 14:00 on Friday 24th June 2022
First article for Friday 24th june 2022 with the market still in suspension.
Voltage disruption (apparently) stemming from Port Augusta Renewable Energy Park Thursday morning 23rd June 2022
A few quick notes about the voltage disturbance experienced in the early hours of the morning in South Australia on Thursday 23rd June 2022.
AEMO continue to watch for forecast LOR3 … e.g. MN99072 in preliminary forecast for Thu 30th June in SA
With Market Suspension possibly being lifted tomorrow morning, the flagging of forecast LOR3 in *very preliminary* ST PASA run for Thursday 30th June was of interest.
Administered Pricing ended at 04:00 on Thursday 23rd June 2022 (and an FCAS price glitch)
A short note about the end of the Administered Pricing Period (for now?) from 04:05 on Thursday 23rd June 2022.
(Somewhat artificially) low NEM-wide IRPM on Wednesday evening 22nd June … looking forward to possible easing of Suspension on Friday morning
A quick look at the NEM on Wednesday evening, with thoughts to the near future.
AEMO MN98805 continues Market Suspension (possibly only till Friday 04:05), but with different prices on a path out
This morning AEMO published Market Notice 98805 confirming continuation of Market Suspension from 04:05 Thursday 23rd June until further notice.
Climbing out of Market Suspension
A short article to follow on from an AEMO announcement at 16:30 today about a possible pathway out of Market Suspension
Increased visibility of LOR3 forecasts
An update on our thinking about LOR forecasts, under these ‘far from normal’ current market conditions.
ESB releases ‘high-level design paper’ for Capacity Mechanism
A short article noting the ESB’s release of high-level design of Capacity Mechanism.
ACCC’s ‘Inquiry into the National Electricity Market’ (from 23rd May) published (+ an Addendum) Monday 20th June 2022
A short article to note the release of the ACCC’s 7th issue of the ‘Inquiry into the NEM’ … along with an Addendum at a very topical time.
File creation times at AEMO for DISPATCHIS and P5MIN increase 50%, coincident [CAVEAT] with Administered Pricing and Market Suspension
In parallel to the ‘Energy Crisis 2022’ (and perhaps related to it, in some ways) we see a step change decline in the performance of the timeliness of file creation for P5MIN at the AEMO in recent days…
TransGrid 330kV substation near Tallawarra Power Station on fire [updated ~20:30]
A short note this evening about a substation fire near Tallawarra Power Station.
RERT dispatched through Friday night in NSW
On Friday evening AEMO dispatched Reserve Trader for a long period of time.
Wafer thin margin Friday evening, NEM-wide [caveat = based on generation bid available for NEMDE pricing/dispatch]
A quick snapshot for NEM-wide Instantaneous Reserve Plant Margin down at 3% at 23:45 on Friday evening 17th June 2022.
AEMC notice ‘Eligible participants have [until Wednesday 22nd June] to notify the AEMC of their intent to claim compensation’
An updated today from the AEMC about the compensation claims process under APC is worth sharing with Participants who read WattClarity.