A brief reminder about the complexity of measuring ‘Demand’ …
There’s essentially three measures of demand that are commonly talked about, and they are not really interchangeable.
declining demand
Victoria sees new ‘lowest ever*’ point for ‘Market Demand’ (and Actual MSL1) on Wednesday 1st January 2025
On Wednesday 1st January 2025 (New Year's Day), Victoria saw both a new 'lowest ever*' point for 'Market Demand' and Actual MSL1.
Is the bottom going to fall out of ‘Market Demand’ on a NEM-wide basis tomorrow (Sat 26th Oct 2024)
We wondered what the very, very low demand forecast for NSW (on Sat 26th Oct 2024) that might mean for NEM-wide demand – so we flipped the ‘Forecast Convergence’ widgets to look at NEM-wide...
Is the bottom going to fall out of the NSW ‘Market Demand’ tomorrow (Saturday 26th October 2024)?
It was only 5 days (on Sunday 20th October 2024) when we saw a new 'lowest ever*' point for 'Market Demand' in NSW ... so we're amazed to see AEMO forecasting a low point...
New ‘lowest ever*’ point of NSW ‘Market Demand’, on Sunday 20th October 2024
In the following dispatch interval (11:50 on Sunday 20th October 2024) the level of 'Market Demand' fell ~200MW ... below the prior 'lowest ever*' point set a few weeks earlier.
NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’, falls below 10,000MW for the first time ever* – on Sunday 20th October 2024
On Sunday 20th October 2024 we see a new 'lowest ever*' point for NEM-wide 'Market Demand' courtesy of mild weather and gangbusters rooftop PV.
What happened with System Load in VIC on Friday 27th and Saturday 28th September 2024?
With AEMO forecasting possible 'Minimum System Load' in Victoria for the coming weekend, we take a look back at (our understanding of) some of what happened on Saturday 27th Sept and Sunday 28th Sept...
‘Minimum Demand’ point for NSW drops 226MW from last year’s low point (on Sunday 1st September 2024)
On Sunday 1st September 2024 the 'minimum demand' point in NSW ratcheted lower still - a drop of 6% on the preceding 'lowest ever' point set just over 10 months ago.
Case Study of Sunday 12th November 2023 (lowest point for Aggregate Scheduled Target in 2023)
A 2nd short article falling out of GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2023 Q4. This one looks at Sunday 12th November 2023 and shows the lowest point in 2023 for NEM-wide Aggregate Scheduled Target (and...
Recapping the accelerating decline in ‘Minimum Demand’ levels across the NEM, at the end of 2023
A tabular summary of how 'declining demand' has been an accelerating theme in most regions of the NEM (and NEM-wide) through 2023.
Also new ‘lowest ever’ point for Market Demand in South Australia on Sunday 31st December 2023
Fourth article today, taking a quick look at neighbouring South Australia - which has also seen a new 'lowest ever' level of Market Demand.
Part 3 … Victorian demand holding up at higher levels than successive AEMO forecasts
Third article today, focusing on an apparent anomaly between AEMO's P30 and P5 predispatch forecasts for Victorian demand today (Sun 31st Dec 2023).
Victoria’s ‘Market Demand’ low point drops further–on Sunday 12th November 2023
A quick record of Sun 12th Nov 2023, with 'minimum demand' dropping further in Victoria
NSW region hit new ‘lowest ever’ point for Market Demand on Sunday 8th October 2023
A quick record of a new 'lowest ever' point for Market Demand in NSW on Sunday 8th October 2023
Has rooftop PV in South Australia recently been curtailed with these low points for demand?
Echoing a question we've been asked - about the extent to which rooftop PV has been curtailed as a result of these minimum demand points.
New lowest point for NEM-wide demand also set on Sunday 1st October 2023
Looking back at yesterday (Sun 1st Oct 2023) it appears to also have seen a lowest point for NEM-wide demand by both measures ... lower than the low point set ~2 weeks prior.
Negative ‘Market Demand’ in South Australia on Saturday 23rd September 2023
A quick snapshot of one dispatch interval (of a number) seeing negative 'Market Demand' in South Australia on Saturday 23rd September 2023.
Uncharted territory for rooftop PV in South Australia
Hot on the heels of a new low point for Operational Demand in South Australia on the weekend, this evening AEMO warns of an ‘elevated risk of contingent disconnection of Distributed PV’ tomorrow (Wed...
QLD minimum demand drops lower still on Sunday 14th August 2022
A short note on Sunday 14th August 2022 with electricity demand in QLD hitting new low points.
Demand records in NSW tumble for the second weekend in a row
Sunday afternoon saw demand in NSW hit new historic lows for the second weekend in a row.