The second part of an ongoing case study examining two successive days of low VRE generation in early July 2023. This part examines IRPM, earlier forecasts of available generation and maps the availability by site location.
low wind production
A brief article as a first Case Study looking at Mon 3rd and Tue 4th July 2023, in conjunction with the compilation of GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2023 Q3.
One observation about the 2023 ESOO is that AEMO is now modelling (more accurately) the high temperature degradation on wind farm performance.
Continuing network outage, and weather conditions, leads to long duration of elevated price in SA over the weekend.
Third article for Tuesday 1st August 2023 – recording some evening volatility across the 4 x mainland regions.
Light winds and a constrained interconnector contributed to elevated prices on 1 August 2023.
A quick look at elevated prices mid afternoon on Monday 3rd July 2023.
Earlier LOR conditions forecast for SA this morning did not eventuate to an actual, but the region was hit with a short run of price spikes.
A first look at a forecast for tight supply-demand conditions for South Australia on Wednesday 10th May 2023.
A second article today about volatility in South Australia
A quick article on Sunday evening to highlight the difference between sunlight hours and darkness hours in terms of pricing patterns today (the weekend following the closure of Liddell).
With demand beginning to rise sharply output at Queensland’s four wind farms has been muted so far this afternoon.
With low wind production in South Australia on Thursday 17th November, limited import capability and curtailment of rooftop PV, the price has spiked on Thursday afternoon
Following a client request on Friday 4th November, here’s a quick look at the low wind conditions occurring on that day.
A quick updated look at how Aggregate Wind-Farm Production has trended since 2010 to now.
Looking back at Friday 26th August 2022 we see that it was not only South Australia that was becalmed. All but one of the wind farms operating in the NEM showed quite low output levels – meaning lowest aggregate level in 11 months!
It’s been recurrent volatility in South Australia today.
Geoff Bongers, Nathan Bongers and Andy Boston have prepared this guest authored article following on from their recently published paper about the characterisation and mitigation of renewable droughts in the NEM.
Adding to the complexity of a dire supply-demand balance, aggregate production from wind has dropped below 1000MW today.
A quick look into the short-term wind lull spanning more than daylight hours on Friday 27th May 2022.