A short record of some afternoon volatility in TAS on Saturday 2nd March 2024.Read More
A quick look back at Thu 29th Feb 2024 – a day where afternoon (congestion-based) curtailment of Large Solar in NSW exacerbated the tight supply-demand balance and spot price volatility.
On Thu 29th Feb 2024 (a day when NSW saw high demand, was stretched in terms of available capacity, and benefited from the electricity and other services provided by soon-to-close Eraring) the Dept of Energy in Canberra released a Design Paper on the expanded Capacity Investment Scheme. A very appropriate day for release …
A quick look back at Tuesday 28th November 2023, a day of lowest Large Solar yield through 2023 Q4.
Winding back the clock to summer 2010-11 we take a look at (our derivation of) Underlying Demand for NSW on 30th and 31st Jan and Tuesday 1st Feb 2011.
Winding back the clock to summer 2012-13 we take a look at (our derivation of) Underlying Demand for NSW on 16th, 17th and 18th January 2013.
Winding back the clock to summer 2016-17 we take a look at (our derivation of) Underlying Demand for NSW on 8th, 9th and 10th February 2017.
Winding back the clock to summer 2018-19 we take a look at (our derivation of) Underlying Demand for NSW on 29th, 30th and Thu 31st Jan 2019.
Winding back the clock to summer 2019-20 we take a look at (our derivation of) Underlying Demand on Thu 30th Jan, Fri 31st Jan and Sat 1st Feb 2020.
Putting the high demand seen in NSW on Thu 29th Feb 2024 in historical context.
Last article (on the day) about Thu 29th Feb 2024. Prompted by an AFR article just over 24 hours ago, how large was the contribution of Eraring Power Station to the NSW electricity region today?
Pulling together an estimate for ‘Underlying Demand’ in NSW for Thursday 29th February 2024, it was very big – and occurred earlier than the peak in ‘Market Demand’, and is measured in different ways by different people.
At 16:35 on Thu 29th Feb 2024 the NSW demand peaked at its highest point in summer 2023-24.
Took a first look at the 15:10 price spike to the $16,600/MWh Market Price Cap in NSW on Thu 29th Feb 2024.
We’ve already witnessed four price spikes this afternoon as demand in NSW is approaching its expected peak. P5 forecasts are currently projects prices to remain at very elevated levels for the time being.
A mid-afternoon update about NSW on Thu 29th Feb 2024.
It’s early afternoon so here’s a quick look at forecasts for NSW on Thursday evening 29th Feb 2024.
It’s Thursday 29th Feb 2024 and with ‘next day public’ bid data we take a look back at the (very similarly profiled) short notice outages at Tarong unit 1 and unit 2 yesterday (Wed 28th Feb 2024).
Still a forecast LOR2 for NSW on Thursday 29th February 2024, but not as severe as earlier forecasts
AEMO current forecasts (at early afternoon Wed 28th Feb) still show a tight supply-demand balance in NSW for Thu 29th Feb afternoon/evening, but not as severe.
Following the earlier trips … TARONG#1 has come online, closely followed by TARONG#2.