Run of extreme prices in the SA region on Friday 8th December 2023
Prices in SA have spiked to close to the market cap and remained elevated, following the invocation of the ‘I-VS_250’ constraint set due to extreme weather conditions.
Read MoreCase Study (Part 2) of Low % VRE NEM-wide on 3rd and 4th July 2023
The second part of an ongoing case study examining two successive days of low VRE generation in early July 2023. This part examines IRPM, earlier forecasts of available generation and maps the availability by site location.
Return to service for Callide C3 delayed by 17 days (now to 24th January 2024)
A quick update today, following news yesterday from CS Energy about a 17-day delay to the expected return to service of Callide C3, following repairs to the collapsed cooling tower.
Case Study – Severe Weather Challenges Day-Ahead Forecasts for 7, 8, 9 September 2023
A bout of severe weather for many parts of south-eastern Australia brought challenging weather conditions which appear to have impacted variable renewable energy forecasts for the NEM. The case study delves into forecast differences on the 7th, 8th and 9th of September 2023.
Worth a read – ESIG Report ‘Weather Dataset Needs for Planning and Analyzing Modern Power Systems’
This morning I was fortunate to listen into an ESIG Webinar with respect to their report ‘Weather Dataset Needs for Planning and Analyzing Modern Power Systems’
Brief period of spot volatility in QLD and NSW on Tuesday evening 5th December 2023
Some volatility in QLD and NSW on Tuesday 5th December 2023.
Rooftop Solar is crushing* the returns for Large-Scale VRE
Following the release of GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2023 Q3 we’ve chosen to share here one of the clear challenges for large-scale VRE that is emerging (particularly in 2023 Q3) due to the rise and rise of rooftop PV.
GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q3 2023 released
A quick note to mark the the release of GenInsights Quarterly Update for 2023 Q3 last week (and Executive Briefing to one of our subscribers today).
SA Islanding: Managing solar on the island
In our third guest authored post this week, Blake Ashton from SA Power Networks talks about the SA islanding event that occurred just over twelve months ago – how SAPN managed solar curtailment, and how their new ‘flexible exports’ option can address future challenges.
Do we really need Eraring when we’ll have 5,500MW of batteries by 2026?
Tristan Edis from Green Energy Trading discusses whether a surge in renewable energy projects and battery capacity would be sufficient to fill any reliability gap before (and after) Eraring’s scheduled closure.
What’s happening around Wagga?
Guest author, Allan O’Neil, takes a detailed look at how VIC1-NSW1 transfer capability has been limited frequently due to constraints related to the 051 line in southern NSW, and what it means in terms of inter-regional settlements residue accumulations, market efficiency overall, and the energy transition.
Thunderstorms in South Australia impact ~30,000 electricity customers on Tuesday 28th November 2023
Thunderstorms impacted parts of South Australia electricity system in the early hours of Tuesday morning, with two syncons tripping and around 30,000 customers experiencing outages.
Federal Government announces expansion of the Capacity Investment Scheme on 23rd November 2023
Energy Minster Chris Bowen has announced that the existing Capacity Investment Scheme will be greatly expanded. This article provides a summary of industry responses, news articles and social media commentary in regards to the policy announcement.
AEMO holds 2023-24 Summer Readiness Briefing on November 13th 2023
On Monday the AEMO held their annual Summer Readiness Briefing for Summer 2023/24. Meanwhile, the ABC are reporting that the current El Nino has reached ‘strong intensity’.
Case Study (part 1) of Aggregate Scheduled Target on Friday 8th September 2023
The first part of a Case Study looking at a large 5-minute ramp in ‘Aggregate Scheduled Target’ in the middle of the day (an unusual time) on Friday 8th September 2023
Forecast low System Strength of concern in NSW for Tuesday 14th November 2023 … first time ever?
A quick note about a forecast by AEMO of shortfall in system strength in NSW region for Tuesday 14th November 2023.
Victoria’s ‘Market Demand’ low point drops further–on Sunday 12th November 2023
A quick record of Sun 12th Nov 2023, with ‘minimum demand’ dropping further in Victoria
Spot price volatility in South Australia on Thursday evening 9th Nov 2023
A quick review of spot price volatility seen in South Australia on Thursday evening 9th November 2023.
Bigger or better: Are newer wind farms outperforming older ones?
Dan Lee looks at twenty years of capacity factors for wind farms to see if they are improving in line with recent discussion and long-term modelling assumptions.
Case Study (part 1) of low % VRE NEM-wide on 3rd and 4th July 2023
A brief article as a first Case Study looking at Mon 3rd and Tue 4th July 2023, in conjunction with the compilation of GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2023 Q3.