A quick look in the morning of Thursday 7th November 2024 utilizing this collage of 4 different ‘Forecast Convergence’ widgets in ez2view at the 08:35 dispatch interval looking forward to this evening.
Read MoreHere’s a snapshot of NEMwatch at the 17:50 dispatch interval (NEM time) highlighting evening volatility in the QLD and NSW regions as we pass beyond sunset on this warm-for-November day.
A very short article for Wednesday 6th November 2024, such that we might follow up later, to note the following two wobbles in frequency in the mainland NEM today
A short record of a significant drop of ‘Market Demand’ in South Australia on Tuesday afternoon 5th November 2024 … down 710MW (or 60% of the initial value) in 20 minutes.
In Part 4 of this Case Study (with respect to spot price volatility in South Australia on Monday 23rd September 2024) we take a detailed look at the ‘S_PPT+SNPT+BLVR_220’ Constraint Equation, which was particularly meaningful in terms of dispatch outcomes…
A quick look at market notices and our forecast convergence widget in ez2view, to check in with projected tight market conditions this coming Thursday in NSW and QLD.
Frank Calabria (CEO of Origin) spoke at a CEDA Lunch in Sydney on Monday 4th November 2024. Here’s what he said.
In Part 3 of this Case Study, we look specifically at the 12 dispatch intervals at the start of the ‘Evening blast of spot price volatility in South Australia on Monday 23rd September 2024’ … roughly 6 weeks ago.
At 08:53 on Monday morning 4th November 2024, AEMO published MN119852 looking forwards to this coming Sunday 10th November 2024 and a (first ever?) forecast MSL2 condition for Victoria.
There was an ‘Evening blast of spot price volatility in South Australia on Monday 23rd September 2024’ … roughly 6 weeks ago. Today, for several reasons, we start to take a closer look.
I’m not sure we’ve ever had an Actual MSL1 event before, so worth a quick note referencing Market Notice MN119760 published at 11:49 noting an Actual MSL1 in Victoria.
Worth a short note, given the alerts from ez2view have continued to buzz in recent days, as the AEMO continues to update forecast LOR2 warnings for both QLD and NSW regions for Thursday 7th November 2024.
Friday afternoon 1st November 2024 our copies of ez2view did alert us to the restart of the STWF1 unit, just prior to the 16:40 dispatch interval (NEM time).
With the AEMO’s overview of its Minimum System Load ‘hot off the press’ on Friday 1st Nov 2024 – there’s forecasts for MSL1 on Sat 2nd, Sun 3rd and Tue 5th Nov 2024.
The AEMO’s publication today (Fri 1st Nov 2024) of their ‘Victorian Minimum System Load Procedure Overview’ 3-page PDF document will be well received.
Some wobbles in System Frequency (NEM mainland) through the middle of the day on Thursday 31st October 2024 stick out, and will be progressively explored.
A brief look into whether rooftop PV forecast were the driver behind the demand forecast glitch on 29 October 2024.
James Tetlow of Overwatch Energy shares this article which is adapted from his presentation about BESS operations in the NEM at the recent All-Energy conference in Melbourne.
Warwick Forster of Apogee Energy explains how retail and generator hedging works within a portfolio.
As of 8:41pm Broken Hill time (ACDT) 31 Oct, Transgrid confirmed the power line linking Broken Hill to the HV transmission network was energised.