White knuckle ride across the NEM on Friday 31st January 2020 (extreme NEM-wide demand)
Today (Fri 31 January 2020) saw NEM-wide demand reach levels never seen before (excepting 29th January 2009). This was just the start of the white knuckle ride.
NSW
A further look at Thursday Jan 30th
Guest author, Allan O’Neil does a masterful job with limited time in reviewing some of the goings-on in the NEM (particularly VIC and SA) on Thursday 30th January 2020
Buckle in folks, Friday afternoon/evening might be a bit bumpy
Published at 12:02, this is a view looking forward to the expected (very high) peak in electricity demand across the NEM this evening.
Thursday 30th January 2020 sees demand reach 34,257MW and LOR2 notice issued for both VIC and SA
A brief overview of a stressful afternoon/evening in the NEM, where a confluence of events (heatwave-driven high demand, low wind, coal unit trip, etc…) drive LOR2 low reserve condition notice in both VIC and SA, and gear AEMO up to call on Reserve Trader (yet again!)
Factors contributing to events in NSW on Thursday 23rd January 2020 – taking a closer look…
Today I managed to get about half-way (only!) through some analysis I wanted to do to ‘scratch that itch’ about what happened in the NSW Region on Thursday 23rd January – with LOR2 conditions necessitating RERT (Reserve Trader) in the NSW Region.
RERT dispatched in NSW this afternoon, plus other things (at 15:55)
A quick 2nd article today looking at how Reserve Trader was dispatched (and a couple other complexities)
Shaky afternoon ahead for the NSW Region of the NEM (as at 12:05 on Thu 23rd Jan 2020)
Not looking crash hot for the NSW region this afternoon…
Monday’s NSW rain/hail storms also dampens solar output
Following yesterday’s dust storms, today’s rain (and hail) also sweep through NSW to dampen production from solar farms – small and large.
More details on the bushfire-driven extremes in the NSW Region of the NEM on Saturday 4th January
All I have time to do today, looking into more detail of what happened today …. but note that the challenge is still unfolding.
Bushfires under interconnectors through Snowy Mountains cause separation of NSW from VIC region
A quick summary of what’s just happened this afternoon (15:10) with the separation of VIC-to-NSW interconnector due to bushfires that have been plaguing the NEM this summer…
Factors contributing to an unforeseen price spike in NSW at 16:15 on Thursday 31st January 2019
Taking a brief (well, actually longer than intended) look into the various factors that delivered a price spike above $10,000/MWh on Thursday 31st January in NSW – and thinking through the implications for one particular Demand Response client, and for the broader market.
Taking a look at Saturday’s Islanding Event through 4 second SCADA data
Following on from Saturday’s islanding event, we use our current interest in AEMO’s 4-second SCADA data to prove a little more…
High electricity demand forecast for Queensland – on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday next week
Looks like being an interesting day on Wednesday next week (14th February 2018) with high temperatures currently forecast for parts of both QLD and NSW
How significant would it be, if Mt Piper were forced to close (at least temporarily)?
A quick look at the scale of the challenge, if Mt Piper were to be forced to close following a court challenge to coal supplies upstream
AEMO’s successive forecasts for NSW tomorrow paint a progressively WORSE picture
Here’s an update on the situation in NSW
AEMO forecasts LOR3 (load shedding) in NSW tomorrow–Friday 10th February
… whilst on the topic of load shedding, here’s a warning for NSW on Friday afternoon.
Hot weather in NSW drives demand higher
Demand rose in NSW today off the back of some hot weather
Highest electricity demand in NSW so far this summer seen today
NSW experiences its highest electricity demand so far this summer as a result of the hot weather
NSW demand rises a little today
NSW demand rises (somewhat) today
NSW demand tops 12,800MW and reserves tighten today – prior to the cool change
Today was the turn for NSW to feel the heat – with demand rising and supplies stretched as a result.