Sydney forecast to become ‘island of extreme heat’ tomorrow Saturday 9th of December 2023
A short note following a post from Ben Domensino warning of 40+ degree weather in the Sydney metropolitan area tomorrow.
Articles by Dan Lee
Dan Lee first started at Global-Roam in June 2013. He has departed (and returned) for a couple of stints overseas in that time, but rejoined our team permanently in late 2019.
More recently, Dan's focus has been on growing his understanding of the market and developing his analytical capabilities. He is currently enrolled in the Master of Sustainable Energy program at the University of Queensland.
Run of extreme prices in the SA region on Friday 8th December 2023
Prices in SA have spiked to close to the market cap and remained elevated, following the invocation of the ‘I-VS_250’ constraint set due to extreme weather conditions.
Case Study (Part 2) of Low % VRE NEM-wide on 3rd and 4th July 2023
The second part of an ongoing case study examining two successive days of low VRE generation in early July 2023. This part examines IRPM, earlier forecasts of available generation and maps the availability by site location.
Thunderstorms in South Australia impact ~30,000 electricity customers on Tuesday 28th November 2023
Thunderstorms impacted parts of South Australia electricity system in the early hours of Tuesday morning, with two syncons tripping and around 30,000 customers experiencing outages.
Federal Government announces expansion of the Capacity Investment Scheme on 23rd November 2023
Energy Minster Chris Bowen has announced that the existing Capacity Investment Scheme will be greatly expanded. This article provides a summary of industry responses, news articles and social media commentary in regards to the policy announcement.
AEMO holds 2023-24 Summer Readiness Briefing on November 13th 2023
On Monday the AEMO held their annual Summer Readiness Briefing for Summer 2023/24. Meanwhile, the ABC are reporting that the current El Nino has reached ‘strong intensity’.
Bigger or better: Are newer wind farms outperforming older ones?
Dan Lee looks at twenty years of capacity factors for wind farms to see if they are improving in line with recent discussion and long-term modelling assumptions.
Cumulative price in SA goes negative on October 26th 2023
In a rare occurrence (and perhaps a sign of the times), we noted that the cumulative price in SA turned negative yesterday afternoon.
AER release ‘State of the Energy Market’ report for 2023
Today the Australian Energy Regulator released its annual ‘State of the Energy Market’ report that highlighted rising retail prices and a higher concentration of flexible generation asset ownership.
Long or short on storage? A look into price signals for duration
Dan Lee looks into utility-scale storage in Queensland – including the need for megawatt-hours, the state of the build-out, and the current market price signal for duration.
After the storm: Looking at Q2 2023 price trends, one year on from an Energy Crisis
One year on from a market-wide suspension, Dan Lee provides a review of Q2 prices for 2023 so that we can examine some of the longer-term price trends.
From the outside looking in: Checking back in with the NEM via Australian Energy Week 2023 coverage
After having had an extended break abroad, the coverage from last week’s AEW event provided a unique opportunity to check back in with the energy market from an outsider’s perspective.
NEM-wide wind production record broken twice last weekend. New record as of Sunday 25th of June 2023
It appears that the NEM-wide wind production record was broken again, and then again, over the weekend. A quick look at wind output for each region to see the contribution.
A run of high prices seen in SA this morning Wednesday 28th June 2023
Earlier LOR conditions forecast for SA this morning did not eventuate to an actual, but the region was hit with a short run of price spikes.
LOR3 forecast flickers on and off for South Australia for tomorrow evening 27th of June 2023
A brief summary of how the LOR forecast for South Australia tomorrow evening (and later in the week) has evolved throughout today.
That’s all folks: the last unit of Liddell Power Station closes
Liddell Unit 1 ramped down it’s output to 0MW at roughly 10:30am this morning, signaling the full retirement of Liddell Power Station.
AEMO’s QED for Q1 2023 + AER’s analogous report released
A short article to note that the AEMO released it’s QED for Q1 2023 this morning, and a list of the early media coverage.
Case Study of 17:05 on 27th October 2022… Part 4: the geographical spread of +861MW AggROT
In the fourth instalment of this ongoing case study, Dan Lee maps the locations and contributions of the semi-scheduled units that contributed to the +861MW Aggregate Raw Off-Target that occurred on the afternoon of October 27th 2022.
AEMC’s Reliability Panel releases 2021-22 FY Annual Market Performance Review
A short note to mark the Reliability Panel’s annual review of market performance which covers system reliability, security, and safety over the 2021-22 FY – which includes the June 2022 market suspension.
Brief (55 minute) Market Suspension on 17th March 2023 in NSW due to service interruption of SCADA systems
A just-announced AEMO market notice has declared a temporary suspension of the NSW market.