Forecast supply-demand for NSW for Thursday evening 14th December 2023 remains tight
An updated view of the forecast for a tight supply-demand balance for tomorrow (Thu 14th Dec 2023) in NSW.
Summer 2023-24 in the NEM
A collection of articles pertaining to summer 2023-24 in the NEM – including;
1. Forecasts and concerns ahead of time
2. What unfolded in real time through the summer
3 . More considered articles looking backwards on the summer period.
AEMO requests generator recall information in NSW and QLD for this Thursday 14th December 2023
Two AEMO market notices late this morning suggest that NSW and QLD are in for tight supply-demand later this week, with an LOR2 condition currently forecast in the former.
NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’ peaks above 30,000MW on Friday 8th December 2023 … first time since July
The NEM-wide demand peaked (just!) above 30GW on Friday afternoon/evening 8th December 2023.
Sydney forecast to become ‘island of extreme heat’ tomorrow Saturday 9th of December 2023
A short note following a post from Ben Domensino warning of 40+ degree weather in the Sydney metropolitan area tomorrow.
Price volatility also in NSW on Friday 8th December 2023
Second article on Friday 8th December 2023, about two NSW spikes that top-and-tail the volatility written about earlier in South Australia.
Run of extreme prices in the SA region on Friday 8th December 2023
Prices in SA have spiked to close to the market cap and remained elevated, following the invocation of the ‘I-VS_250’ constraint set due to extreme weather conditions.
Brief period of spot volatility in QLD and NSW on Tuesday evening 5th December 2023
Some volatility in QLD and NSW on Tuesday 5th December 2023.
What’s happening around Wagga?
Guest author, Allan O’Neil, takes a detailed look at how VIC1-NSW1 transfer capability has been limited frequently due to constraints related to the 051 line in southern NSW, and what it means in terms of inter-regional settlements residue accumulations, market efficiency overall, and the energy transition.
AEMO holds 2023-24 Summer Readiness Briefing on November 13th 2023
On Monday the AEMO held their annual Summer Readiness Briefing for Summer 2023/24. Meanwhile, the ABC are reporting that the current El Nino has reached ‘strong intensity’.
Forecast low System Strength of concern in NSW for Tuesday 14th November 2023 … first time ever?
A quick note about a forecast by AEMO of shortfall in system strength in NSW region for Tuesday 14th November 2023.
Possible coal supply issues at Mt Piper coal-fired power station to last until the end of 2023?
A short note to echo EnergyAustralia’s warnings (reported in the Australian) about possible coal supply issues for Mt Piper power station.
BOM declares that El Niño and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) are underway
Tuesday 19th September 2023 and the Bureau of Meteorology has declared that El Niño and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) are underway
Current outage plans for Kogan Creek – with threats of industrial action
The print version of the AFR today talks about possible industrial action at Kogan Creek power station – prompting us to take a quick look at current Availability projections.
Stock up on candles?
Last Thursday (31st Aug 2023) the AEMO published the ESOO 2023, including forecasts of some possibility of unserved energy in Victoria and South Australia this coming summer 2023-24 (above the Interim Reliability Measure). Guest author Allan O’Neil takes a look.
It only took a day (after release of the 2023 ESOO) to get to RERT Tenders for summer 2023-24
Yesterday (Thu 31st Aug) we saw the release of the 2023 ESOO. Today (Fri 1st Sept 2023) AEMO calls for tenders for supply of ‘Reserve Trader’ in VIC and SA for summer 2023-24.