‘Summer is coming!’ … Part 1
Over recent weeks we’ve seen a number of warnings about what’s in store for summer 2026-27 in the NEM, so we take a first look.
Seasonal Record of Events in the Market
Collections of events that we see happening in the NEM, categorised in terms of the seasons in which they occur.
A partial answer to the questions ‘where is the Energy/Capacity going to come from’ … after Yallourn closure?
Four weeks ago we asked two questions 'where is the Energy/Capacity going to come from (in just 2 years) to replace all that Energy that Yallourn has been producing this winter?'. Here's the start of an answer to that question, though still incomplete...
Australia’s East Coast winter gas market softens as volatility rises
Krishan Pal Birda from Rystad takes a look at winter 2026 gas demand in south-eastern Australia, and explores what it might mean for future years.
A week later, AEMO MT PASA run shows only shortfalls in South Australia
Given the discussions about looming Yallourn closure, and the implications of this, worth noting a change in the latest weekly MT PASA run.
AEMO updated MT PASA guidance, on 2nd December 2025
At 13:55 on Tuesday 2nd December 2025, the AEMO published MN131337 as an update earlier MT PASA updates (continuing to forecast Low Reserve Condition for NSW for periods between August 2027 to November 2027).
What the hail is happening with Brisbane’s weather?
Anthony Cornelius from WeatherWatch explains the climate drivers behind Southeast Queensland’s unusually intense 2025 hail season — context that matters for those tracking how extreme weather is evolving and influencing the energy market.
AEMO updated MT PASA guidance, on 3rd October 2025
Worth copying in here AEMO's Market Notice 129413 published late Friday afternoon 3rd October 2025 pertaining to the coming two-year period - because of some changes and other notes.
(3 units at) Torrens B station to remain open until mid-2028 after funding arrangement reached
Yesterday (Wed 1st Oct 2025) we had follow-on news about Torrens B, with the Premier of South Australia announcing that ‘Government negotiates energy security agreement’.
MT PASA shows forecast Low Reserve Conditions in both NSW (Aug-Sept 2027) and SA (Dec 2026 to March 2027)
Today's MT PASA update features forecast tight supply-demand balance in both the SA and NSW regions at various times - in terms of both annual Unserved Energy, and Low Reserve Conditions.
Following the 2025 ESOO, MT PASA shows forecast Low Reserve Conditions in the South Australian region (Dec 2026 to March 2027)
Following from the release of the 2025 ESOO last Thursday, the subsequent weekly MT PASA run warns of *forecast* LRC (and unserved energy) in South Australia.
Cumulative ‘worm line’ view of NEMwide wind production in 2025 Q2 (to Sunday 8th June 2025)
Winter 2025 has arrived, with a cold front driving high wind production - which prompts this initial look in wind production for 2025 Q2 to date.
Some remarks on Victorian demand
Allan O'Neil takes a closer look at Victorian electricity demand on Sunday, February 2nd — which stood out as an unprecedented anomaly when looking at the history of weekend demand in the region.
Out of cycle MTPASA update identifies low reserves in VIC
ez2view widgets support quick understanding of the latest declaration of low reserve conditions for VIC in 2025.
Victoria’s first 45°C in four years on the horizon
Ben Domensino of WeatherZone looks at forecasts for temperature, wind and bushfire risk early next week - with Victoria set for extreme weather.
A quick look at bidding in QLD … back on on 18th February 2016
Because it was the focus of discussion and deliberation recently in the QUD19/2021 QLD Class Action, here's a view of bidding of all suppliers in QLD on 18th February 2016.
Mercury Rising: Recent NSW prices and the impact on customers
Oliver Nunn of Endgame Analytics provides this summary of NSW price, demand and generation trends to provide context about what has happened in the region over the past several weeks.
The most recent 14 days of data for VIC1-NSW1
Here's a quick 14-day review of the operation of the VIC1-NSW1 interconnector, including the price difference across it.
Wrap-up of price spikes in November 2024
There have been about 10 occasions in the market's history when the last week of November has led to extreme prices and this November, was no exception - Carl Daley of EnergyByte provides this wrap-up.
High NSW price forecasts not materialising in dispatch, 29th November 2024
A curious phenomenon we've been watching with interest today has been the somewhat persistent and alarmingly high predispatch price forecasts for NSW.
Market Notice 121008: Three of four Uranquinty units trip during LOR1 condition
At 16:55 on 26th November 2024 AEMO advised three of four units at Uranquinty tripped, during a forecast LOR1 condition which then became an actual LOR1 condition.