Collections of events that we see happening in the NEM, categorised in terms of the seasons in which they occur.
On Wednesday 24th July 2024, the AEMO and AER *both* published their quarterly reviews of 2024 Q2 … here are some quick notes for future reference.
Read MoreA short article in conjunction with GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2024 Q2, trending NEM-wide % VRE over 12 days in June 2024.
A short article in conjunction with GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2024 Q2, trending NEM-wide IRPM over 9 days in June 2024.
Looking forwards to some tight supply-demand balance (and potentially record-breaking demand) for mornings early next week in Tasmania.
We’ve clocked over into Friday 26th July 2024 – here’s a quick record of how wind yield from Wind Farms across the NEM has been on a sustained high the past week.
A question from a WattClarity reader prompts this quick article about reduced output at Kogan Creek, and some questions about why.
A quick record of Tamar Valley CCGT coming offline yesterday (Tue 23rd July 2024) after 40 days of solid operations through a low-rain and low-wind winter in Tasmania.
A quick look (on Sunday 17th July 2024) at recent NEM-wide wind production patterns into 2024 Q3.
A quick look at forecast ‘Market Demand’ and NEM-wide IRPM for next week … with Ben Domensino writing about a ‘Ferocious Tasman Low to hit southeast Australia next week’
Five weeks on from the re-start of production at Tamar Valley CCGT, it’s still running (and water storage levels in TAS are still low).
A short (perhaps initial) record of load shedding instructed for NSW on Monday evening 8th July 2024.
Ashleigh Madden of Weatherzone reports on some unusual weather activity scheduled to impact QLD, NSW, and SA wind generation – stemming from a high pressure system moving towards the Tasman sea.
We just witnessed another eventful Q2, with at least four drivers contributing to significant price volatility. This is our annual review of Q2 prices, where we compare these outcomes against the long-term trend.
The ABC report that a notable weather record was broken in Tasmania this morning, and opens questions about future wind lulls and a changing climate.
A view of cumulative total wind production in Q2, highlighting a lack of spatial resource diversity, and the future challenges for gas and long-duration storage.
Taking the ‘worm line’ cumulative trend recent Q2 periods (first used for wind), we now apply this to hydro during 2024 Q2 to see to what extent hydro production volumes are lower than recent (and other notable) years.
On Wednesday 19th June 2024 the AEMO has published this ‘East Coast Gas System Risk or Threat Notice’.
Following a 90-minute period of low IRPM yesterday evening (Mon 17th June 2024) we take a quick look at see forecast low levels of IRPM for Tue 18th June evening (very low!) and Wed 19th June and Thu 20th June.
This evening we are experiencing a tight supply-demand balance NEM-wide, stemming from cold temperatures, and low wind conditions across the southern states.
Early in June 2024 we see the Tamar Valley CCGT unit running strongly in Tasmania for the first time in just over 5 years … part of the strongest run of gas-fired generation in TAS in a long time.