Looking back at a Q2 2021 period that’s been anything but boring
Now making it 5 out of the past 6 years, we return to the analysis of electricity (spot and futures) pricing patterns for Q2 periods across the NEM regions ... and also in Western...
Autumn 2021 in the NEM
A collection of articles about events that occur through winter 2021 in the NEM (i.e. March, April, May 2021)
A Second Serving of the Q2 Elephant
For a second portion of Q2 “elephant eating”, I’ll look in some detail at the dynamics of an early instance of spot price volatility in Queensland, because many drivers turn out to be similar...
Using ‘MT PASA DUID Availability’ widget in ez2view to compare unit availability with expectations prior to Q2 2021
Following Saturday's review of changed expectations for Callide Power Station and Yallourn Power Station, I took a look at aggregate expectation by fuel type. Here's a belated article with the results.
Eating the NEM’s Q2 Elephant – An Appetizer
An old adage runs that to eat an elephant, it’s best to proceed in small servings. With a very eventful Q2 in the NEM not yet finished, the number of headline events is already...
Availability of Black Coal units has suffered through Q2 2021
The volatility that has been with us for weeks now (particularly QLD and NSW), and the dramas unfolding at Callide power station, prompted me to have a broader look at the availability of black...
Discussion about electricity prices – following the Callide C4 Catastrophe
Discussion in a number of different places (including an AFR article today) prompted me to pull some data together of how (spot and futures) prices have trended through 2021, and how they changed with...
Some good information about what happened with Callide C4 inside the AFR today
A note of thanks to Mark Ludlow at the AFR for the compilation of some great initial information about what happened at Callide C4 unit just over a week ago (on Tue 25th May...
Updated list of events on 25th May 2021 that we’ll be investigating – time permitting
For ease of future reference, here is the list of events that occurred on Tuesday 25th May 2021 ... as we (currently) see them.
First pass review of bidding behaviour on Tuesday 25th May 2021 in Queensland, after Event 2
This evening I've taken a first pass look at how QLD generators bid on Tuesday 25th May 2021, in response to the tight supply/demand balance created by the Callide C4 outage and cascade of...
Plenty of things went wrong in Queensland last Tuesday, but some very important things went right
Whilst there were many things that went wrong on Tuesday 25th May 2021 (last week), guest author Allan O'Neil highlights that there were at least 4 things that went right - contributing to a...
Callide C Catastrophic Failure
Carl Daley from EnergyByte, provides more insight into the events of last Tuesday, which culminated in widespread blackouts throughout Queensland.
Prices Spike on Sunday 30th May with low NEM-wide IRPM (without 4 Callide units, and low Wind Production)
On Friday evening (28th May) and again this evening (Sun 30th May) my phone buzzed plenty of times - due to price volatility, and also alerting on low IRPM (enabled with Callide units offline,...
Hornsdale Frequency data seems to confirm QNI separated on 25th May
Two brief (but important) observations made possible with a chart published on RenewEconomy with respect to the Hornsdale Power Reserve.
There were 3 events on Tue 25th May – and it seems likely that QNI separated briefly in Event 2
A deeper look at the frequency data (our own, and also from some others) reveals a number of other interesting things about what happened on Tuesday 25th May 2021 in Queensland.
ABC news report suggests Callide C4 will be offline for a long, long time
My evening reading of an ABC news article (about Callide C) released this afternoon suggests a long, long and expensive outage for Callide C4.
Sequence of Events on 25 May – A Very Short & Partial Visual Guide
Normally this would be part of a much more complete article adding to WattClarity’s growing coverage of the major power system events in Queensland following the incident at Callide C Power Station. However I...
Here’s 7 of the Headline Questions we’re pondering about, following the dramas in Central Queensland on Tuesday 25th May
Sharing 7 of the 'Headline Questions' we're pondering, as we bury ourselves in the data surrounding the events that happened on Tuesday 25th May ... some of which will have long-lasting implications (not to...
Forecast for elevated prices in QLD again this evening – Wed 26th May 2021
Following yesterday's incidents (plural!) we see prices forecast to be high this evening in QLD as well.
Three Events Yesterday – with Mainland Frequency as low as 48.555Hz
Part 5 in an expanding series, looking at what happened in QLD on Tuesday 25th May 2021 - this one looking at system frequency.
Callide C4 (tentatively) offline for a year – following turbine hall fire yesterday!
First update, day after the event, shows a cautious (initial) approach to returning the 4 units at the Callide site back to service.