Reader question about current (planned) outage at Millmerran unit 2
Answering a reader question (about the current outage at Millmerran unit 2) with some pictures in an article on WattClarity.
A collation of articles tagged with ‘Forecast Convergence’ – which is a way of looking at that other dimension of time.
These might be:
1) Articles using the ‘Forecast Convergence’ widget within our ez2view software;
2) Or it might be other representations of the same concept, such as in our GenInsights Quarterly Updates report.
Answering a reader question (about the current outage at Millmerran unit 2) with some pictures in an article on WattClarity.
A first look at a forecast for tight supply-demand conditions for South Australia on Wednesday 10th May 2023.
Latest data from AEMO (from Fri 14th April) suggests Liddell unit 4 might close a couple days later than when we’d looked in February.
News of the arrival of another high cost replacement component (generator stator) at Callide C4 prompts me to have an updated look … with a new feature in ez2view.
Today (Fri 3rd February 2023) is an illustration of the inherent difficulties in ‘successfully’ forecasting electricity demand!
A quick article for Friday (3rd Feb 2023) morning, looking ahead to this evening and what AEMO’s current forecasts are saying for this evening.
Our fourth article looking forward to this Friday afternoon (3rd February 2023) in the Queensland region, where successive AEMO STPASA forecast data is showing considerable variability about what peak demand might be for the QLD region (it *might*, if predictions turn into reality, smash the prior all-time record). Dan Lee looks into how the demand forecast has been evolving and what to watch for this Friday afternoon.
Following a client request on Friday 4th November, here’s a quick look at the low wind conditions occurring on that day.
A quick look at a brief price spike in NSW and QLD on Friday evening 28th October – which appears to be related to a Ravine -Yass(2) 330kV line outage.
A quick initial look at (what appears to be) a strange aberration in the AEMO forecast data, with load shedding briefly forecast in NSW tomorrow morning.
It’s taken longer than expected – but today I’ve posted this article that goes some way to answering the question ‘to what extent was solar production disappointing through periods of Q2 2022?’
In this article we explain a different (and sometimes quite powerful) way of reviewing some performance metrics in relation to the passage of another dimension of time.
A follow-on second look at the volatility experienced in South Australia around midnight beginning Thursday 8th September 2022.
With Market Suspension possibly being lifted tomorrow morning, the flagging of forecast LOR3 in *very preliminary* ST PASA run for Thursday 30th June was of interest.
An update on our thinking about LOR forecasts, under these ‘far from normal’ current market conditions.
Following from the release of GenInsights21, in this article we look at some of what that analytical publication can help us understand, in terms of how the changing market is impacting on the role that renewables will increasingly play in the NEM in the years to come.
A second ‘mystery DUID’ puzzle … perhaps more complex than the first … from GenInsights21, for those who like to be challenged in ways like these.
Following from the ESB’s Final Advice, and inspired by the one year anniversary of publications the MT PASA DUID Availability data sets by AEMO (thanks to the ERM-sponsored rule change) we take a quick look about both initiatives might mean for each other. More to come in GenInsights21, time permitting.
Returning to the price spike in NSW on Wednesday morning (to $15,100/MWh for 3 dispatch intervals) to explore some of the reasons why it happened – and why it happened unexpectedly.
Day-ahead demand forecasts will be integral to any future ‘Ahead Market’. We take a look at the current state and accuracy trend of demand forecasts made 24 hours ahead as part of the broader piece of work to feed into GenInsights21.