Another ‘mystery DUID’ puzzle (from Forecast Convergence in GenInsights21)
A second ‘mystery DUID’ puzzle … perhaps more complex than the first … from GenInsights21, for those who like to be challenged in ways like these.
Areas of deeper analysis
Can you guess these five mystery DUIDs from their longer-term MLF trend? (one sneak peak from GenInsights21)
Under four weeks to the release of GenInsights21 we thought we’d share this puzzle with our readers on Wattclarity … can you name these 5 x mystery DUIDs from their longer-term MLF trajectory?
A sneak peak at the increasing volume of bidding at some Large Solar Farms in the NEM
A short article today, to share an image from the upcoming GenInsights21 release, and to pose some questions – about what’s been happening with the rise (and fall!) of bid volumes at Large Solar Farms in the NEM.
The rise of the auto-bidder
A trend of monthly total number of bids shows clear indication of ‘the rise of the auto-bidder’.
Discussion at AIE Brisbane on 2nd Dec 2021 – Early insights on Five Minute Settlement
Here’s the event details for the discussion scheduled for Thursday 2nd December 2021 about ‘Early insights from Five Minute Settlement’, thanks to AIE Brisbane.
TransGrid releases ‘Energy Vision’ – their modelled results on a clean energy future for Australia
On Wednesday 13th October 2021, TransGrid released it’s ‘Energy Vision’, containing modelled results for 6 different scenarios out till 2050.
Re-starting compilation of GenInsights21, for release December 2021
Following a period when it was placed on the back-burner, due to other priorities, we’ve now re-started the development process for GenInsights21 and would invite you to pre-order your copy.
Initial look at the latency of all rebids
Following from some analytical work performed in testing for Five Minute Settlement, here’s a view of latency of rebids (all DUIDs, all commodities) in recent months that prompts a number of questions…
What does ‘Forecast Convergence’ for MT PASA DUID Availability help us understand, about the ESB’s Final Advice?
Following from the ESB’s Final Advice, and inspired by the one year anniversary of publications the MT PASA DUID Availability data sets by AEMO (thanks to the ERM-sponsored rule change) we take a quick look about both initiatives might mean for each other. More to come in GenInsights21, time permitting.
Low wind production (inside NSW+QLD) was one other factor contributing to price volatility in Q2 2021
As Q2 2021 unfolded, it seemed that there were many instances where prices spiked during evening demand peaks – and that wind output was low at the time. So I took a closer statistical look…
A list of (some of) the factors contributing to the volatile price outcomes seen in Q2 2021 – particularly QLD and NSW
Prompted by last Friday’s publication of the AER’s ‘Wholesale Markets Quarterly’ for Q2 2021, here’s a tabulated summary of some of the contributing factors of spot price volatility (and hence high average prices) for the quarter – particularly for QLD and NSW.
Let’s Talk About (Operating) Reserves
A team of academics at UNSW explain operating reserves and analyse the case for implementing an operating reserve service in the NEM.
Two Wrongs Don’t Make a REZ
Tom Geiser discusses transmission access and the efficacy of Renewable Energy Zones. He examines what the underlying problems are and how they can be solved directly.
Is the predictability of day-ahead demand improving?
Day-ahead demand forecasts will be integral to any future ‘Ahead Market’. We take a look at the current state and accuracy trend of demand forecasts made 24 hours ahead as part of the broader piece of work to feed into GenInsights21.
Using ‘MT PASA DUID Availability’ widget in ez2view to compare unit availability with expectations prior to Q2 2021
Following Saturday’s review of changed expectations for Callide Power Station and Yallourn Power Station, I took a look at aggregate expectation by fuel type. Here’s a belated article with the results.
Callide C Event Fallout
Carl Daley of EnergyByte examines the ramifications of the Callide Power Station outage and discusses the big losers and winners from the situation.
Ten Years of Performance History for Callide C4, from the GSD2020
In order to assist discussions on social media about what’s been happening with Callide C4 over the past 10 years, using the GSD2020 I’ve published some actual detailed performance metrics.
Exploring several categories of Stakeholder in ‘Generator Insights 2021’
In our development of GenInsights21, we’re exploring ways to also include some analysis of different types of stakeholders in the generation process. In this article we outline a couple (and seek your input).
Observations of differences in system frequency in the Mainland NEM (comparing 2019 to 2021)
One of the many data sets being crunched as part of our analytical efforts underpinning the development of ‘GenInsights21’ is system frequency. In this short article today, we share some initial observations on how it has been changing.
Announcing development of ‘Generator Insights 2021’, and inviting your pre-order
As alluded to in several recent articles, we have underway a process for updating the ~180 page analytical component included in the Generator Report Card 2018 (released 23 months ago now). We are targeting a release of ‘Generator Insights 2021’ in Q3 2021, and would invite your pre-order.