David Leitch’s review of GenInsights21
Occasional guest author, David Leitch, grasped an opportunity for an early read of GenInsights21 - and shares some of his observations here with WattClarity readers.
Long-Term Market trends and forecasts
Low points remain (stubbornly low) in NEM-wide wind harvest
Low wind harvest, NEM-wide, was a feature of Tuesday 14th December 2021.
AEMO released draft of 2022 Integrated System Plan
Yesterday, Friday 10th December 2021, the AEMO released it's draft of the 2022 Integrated System Plan - and it has created a bit of a stir with some of the modelled results.
Can you guess these five mystery DUIDs from their longer-term MLF trend? (one sneak peak from GenInsights21)
Under four weeks to the release of GenInsights21 we thought we'd share this puzzle with our readers on Wattclarity ... can you name these 5 x mystery DUIDs from their longer-term MLF trajectory?
Recapping where the records sit, in ‘record minimum demand’ following Sunday 17th October 2021 (Part 4)
Capping off a weekend of new low points for minimum demand in NSW, and NEM-wide (and some near misses elsewhere) this table sums up where the low points sit.
TransGrid releases ‘Energy Vision’ – their modelled results on a clean energy future for Australia
On Wednesday 13th October 2021, TransGrid released it's 'Energy Vision', containing modelled results for 6 different scenarios out till 2050.
A Quick Tour of the 2021 ESOO
Guest author, Allan O'Neil, takes an initial look at some of the highlights included in the AEMO's Electricity Statement of Opportunities for 2021 (a 10-year forecast for what might unfold in the future of...
No front page media horror stories for AEMO’s 2021 ESOO!
The AEMO's 2021 ESOO was released this morning. Here's where you can get it, and some of the articles written about it.
New low mark for production from brown coal on Saturday 28th August 2021
Following comments on social media over the weekend about a new low point for brown coal generation, I took a quick look.
NEM-wide minimum demand (in winter) drops lower on Sunday 15th August 2021 … and Renewables Share in VIC higher
Sunday 15th August saw lowest level of Operational Demand in the NEM for a winter period, NEM-wide. This also led to a number of other outcomes (including higher renewable penetration, negative prices, ... and...
New record for NEM-wide wind production on Tuesday 20th July 2021
A look this morning at the new record (set yesterday - Tuesday 20th July) for NEM-wide wind production.
Blowing a gale across SE Australia … but July has not (yet?) hit a new peak instantaneous wind output record
A quick look at monthly stats shows that, whilst it's been blowing a gale in SE Australia in recent days, it's not yet set a new 'peak instantaneous wind farm output' record.
End of the road looming – for Liddell, and also AGL’s Torrens B … and another day delay for Callide C3!
More changes to retirement schedules in the market prompt me to power up the 'MT PASA DUID Availability' widget in ez2view once again...
Discussion about electricity prices – following the Callide C4 Catastrophe
Discussion in a number of different places (including an AFR article today) prompted me to pull some data together of how (spot and futures) prices have trended through 2021, and how they changed with...
Ten Years of Performance History for Callide C4, from the GSD2020
In order to assist discussions on social media about what's been happening with Callide C4 over the past 10 years, using the GSD2020 I've published some actual detailed performance metrics.
A new all-time maximum for coincident wind production across the NEM late on Tuesday 25th May
Last night, in addition to the dramas unfolding in the QLD region, we set a new record for coincident NEM-wide wind production - eclipsing the prior record from exactly 6 weeks ago.
Observations of differences in system frequency in the Mainland NEM (comparing 2019 to 2021)
One of the many data sets being crunched as part of our analytical efforts underpinning the development of 'GenInsights21' is system frequency. In this short article today, we share some initial observations on how...
$15,000/MWh in South Australia on Friday 12th March 2021 … part 3 (quick thought to the future)
A shorter article - thinking more about the future, prompted by one of the factors that contributed to the price volatility seen in South Australia on Friday 12th March 2021
Will the traditional ‘Peak’ contract be another casualty of this Energy Transition?
Prompted by several different conversations offline in early 2021, I've taken a quick look at what have been traded volumes (on ASX) of the traditional 'PEAK' hedge contract for the NSW, QLD, VIC and...
Report ‘Fast Erosion of Coal Plant Profits’ prompts questions
A report released this week by Green Energy Markets and the IEEFA exploring the prospect of accelerated coal closures, has itself caused some ripples...