The 2023 ESOO report clarifies why the transmission model only includes ‘System Normal’ – and why it’s a simplification
One observation about the 2023 ESOO is that AEMO is has highlighted the set of constraints modelled is only 'System Normal'.
Electricity Statement of Opportunities (ESOO)
The 2023 ESOO modelling provides a more accurate real world depiction of Wind Farm limitations at high temperatures
One observation about the 2023 ESOO is that AEMO is now modelling (more accurately) the high temperature degradation on wind farm performance.
AEMO releases 2023 ESOO on Thursday 31st August 2023 (Australia’s NEM is perched on the edge)
AEMO notes that 'Australia's NEM is perched on the edge' in the 2023 ESOO, released today (Thu 31st Aug 2023)
AEMO publishes an Update to the 2022 ESOO
On Tuesday 21st February 2023 the AEMO published an update on its 2022 ESOO.
Current expectation for closure dates of Liddell and Eraring Power Stations
Drawing from GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q4 2022, and the next version of our ez2view software, we take a look at the *current* expectations for closure of Liddell Power Station (within weeks) and Eraring...
South Australia’s Energy Minister triggers the Retailer Reliability Obligation (RRO) for SA in Q1 2026
A release from the AER states that SA's Minister for Energy and Mining has triggered the RRO (and hence MLO) in South Australia for Q1 2026.
AEMO releases 2022 ESOO on Wednesday 31st August 2022
Here's where to find the 2022 ESOO - and also what I've seen (thus far) of external commentary about what's revealed and discussed in the ESOO.
Substantially different than a year ago, the 2022 ESOO points to challenges ahead in the supply/demand balance
With the AEMO releasing the 2022 ESOO on Wednesday morning 31st August 2022 with the limited time I have available right now I've had a quick look, and in this article highlight some things...
AEMO releases update to 2021 ESOO following earlier closure announcement for Eraring Power Station
The AEMO published an update to their 2021 ESOO today (Thu 14th April) following some 'earlier closure' announcements for Eraring and Bayswater, which also gave the opportunity to study other developments. Here's some quick...
Observation 8/22 from GenInsights21–what is the purpose of the ESOO (Electricity Statement of Opportunities)?
We've chosen to republish Observation 8 (of 22) within Part 2 of GenInsights21 in this article, to help readers ask that question ... what is the purpose of the ESOO?
A Quick Tour of the 2021 ESOO
Guest author, Allan O'Neil, takes an initial look at some of the highlights included in the AEMO's Electricity Statement of Opportunities for 2021 (a 10-year forecast for what might unfold in the future of...
No front page media horror stories for AEMO’s 2021 ESOO!
The AEMO's 2021 ESOO was released this morning. Here's where you can get it, and some of the articles written about it.
$15,000/MWh in South Australia on Friday 12th March 2021 … part 3 (quick thought to the future)
A shorter article - thinking more about the future, prompted by one of the factors that contributed to the price volatility seen in South Australia on Friday 12th March 2021
ESOO 2020 – What a difference a year makes
Guest author, Allan O'Neil, takes a look at the AEMO's 2020 ESOO to unpick the reason for the differences in outlook (and the sensationalised news headlines) compared to 2019 ESOO.
AEMO releases its 2020 Electricity Statement of Opportunities (ESOO)
This morning (Thursday 27th August 2020) we saw the AEMO release the 2020 edition of the Electricity Statement of Opportunities.
ICYMI – COAG EC flags reliability framework changes
Guest author, Allan O'Neil tries to piece together further detail of what is intended with the apparent tightening of the Reliability Standard (which has sat at 0.002% USE for many years).
Summer reliability back in the headlines
Guest author, Allan O'Neil, provides us an update today on what we can see about summer 2019-20 (in the physical market, and the financial market), now that it is only just around the corner.
ESOO Unboxing
Without resiling from last week’s criticism of how the headlines from AEMO’s 2019 Electricity Statement of Opportunities (ESOO) were communicated, it’d be churlish for me to fault the depth of disclosure and data sitting...
ConfUSEd by the ESOO? You’re not alone.
I’d rather not add to the number of conspiracy theories in circulation, but I wonder if there’s a conspiracy to make understanding our electricity system in general, and its reliability in particular, as difficult...
AEMO releases its 2019 Electricity Statement of Opportunities – more tinder for the “energy wars” fire…
AEMO releases its Electricity Statement of Opportunities today, with an initial flurry of press coverage. Another reminder of heightened risk that the NEM is increasingly facing...