Large Solar production in QLD on Saturday 16th October crushed between Rooftop PV and Coal
A short note at a ‘new normal’ condition that we can expect to see increasingly in NEM regions (including QLD) as rooftop PV continues to grow in scale.
QLD
Perhaps some early changes with Bid Strategy, with Five Minute Settlement
Another interim build of ez2view gives me an excuse to have another look at changes in bidding patterns at selected Wind, Solar and Coal units.
Price Volatility continues in QLD on 4th October 2021, under Five Minute Settlement
A quick look at three price spikes seen late afternoon in QLD on Monday 4th October 2021.
New low point for minimum demand (not artificially suppressed) in QLD on Sunday 3rd October 2021
A short note about a new low point for minimum demand that appears to have been set in the QLD region on Sunday 3rd October 2021
Morning volatility in QLD and NSW on Thursday 22nd July 2021
A quick record of some morning volatility in QLD and NSW … both due to tight supply/demand balance with interconnectors constrained.
Tight supply/demand balance delivers price spike in QLD on Wednesday evening 21st July
A short note about the first of a number of dispatch interval price spikes in the QLD region on Wednesday evening, 21st July 2021.
Friday evening price spike in QLD and NSW – with 300MW demand response in QLD
A short article that might be referred back to later following a spot price spike (in QLD and NSW), and what looks like demand response (in QLD).
Spot price up in QLD and NSW, with only 1,532MW of spare capacity Monday evening 12th July
A snapshot of the start of price volatility in QLD and NSW on Monday 12th July 2021.
Price volatility in the QLD region on Saturday 3rd July 2021
A rainy Saturday morning reminds us the price volatility for Q2 in QLD has not totally gone away … with elevated prices for ENERGY and also Contingency FCAS (Raise 6 second and Raise 60 second).
Looking back at a Q2 2021 period that’s been anything but boring
Now making it 5 out of the past 6 years, we return to the analysis of electricity (spot and futures) pricing patterns for Q2 periods across the NEM regions … and also in Western Australia. We see a number of ways in which Q2 2021 was ‘anything but boring’!
Availability of Black Coal units has suffered through Q2 2021
The volatility that has been with us for weeks now (particularly QLD and NSW), and the dramas unfolding at Callide power station, prompted me to have a broader look at the availability of black coal plant across QLD and NSW, and compare this to prior Q2 periods.
Evening volatility on Tuesday 15th June 2021
It was volatile this morning well past that’s become ‘normal’ and the volatility has returned (as I expected it would) this evening. Here’s the snapshot of the 17:20 dispatch interval from one of our NEMwatch v10 dashboards: As highlighted: 1) …
More persistent spot price volatility in the QLD region on Tuesday morning, 15th June 2021
Morning spot price volatility in the QLD region persists further into the morning (Tue 15th June) than has become expected.
Evening volatility continues into Thursday 10th June 2021
A short article noting volatility rolls into Thursday evening, 10th June 2021
Demand, and prices, up in NSW and QLD on Wednesday 9th June 2021 … and low IRPM
A short note about the first of the volatility on Wednesday 9th June 2021.
Spot market volatility report – Thursday 3rd June 2021 (as at 17:54)
Evening spot price volatility has become a regular thing – here’s some of it for Thursday 3rd June 2021
And so the daily solar bedtime story continues … on Wednesday 2nd June 2021 (with 4 x Callide units off, etc…)
Only two dispatch intervals (thus far?) of extreme pricing tonight for QLD and NSW (Wed 2nd June 2021). Here’s the first one…
AEMO releases Preliminary Report: Trip of multiple generators and lines in Queensland and associated under-frequency load shedding on 25 May 2021
The AEMO has released its 22-page Preliminary Report into the Callide C4 Catastrophe and the subsequent events.
Price Volatility (now a regular evening event for QLD and NSW) on Tuesday 1st June kicked along by Darling Downs outage.
A number of things happened late today – with the trip of DDPS1 (only declare credible contingency earlier in the day) giving more impetus to spot price volatility in the QLD and NSW regions already facing tight supply/demand following the Callide catastrophe and LOR1 in NSW.
Hold onto your hats … QLD’s supply demand balance forecast to be very tight in the hours ahead … Tue 25th May 2021 (Part 2)
Looks set to be a very tight supply/demand balance this evening in Queensland. Here’s hoping everything goes right for the AEMO Control Room!