A not-so-small collection of articles about forecasts for, and what unfolded, on Monday 22nd January 2024 in Queensland.
This was an evening in which there is forecast to be:
1) High demand (early forecasts suggested a new all-time max)
2) Tight supply-demand balance; and
3) So price expectations
… and what unfolded did not disappoint (in terms of records)
A summary of a recent academic case study looking into the events of January 22, 2024 in the QLD region, revealing how DER dynamics, weather variability and forecast limitations are amplifying operational challenges.
Guest author, Carl Daley from EnergyByte, provides this summary of summer 2024 - covering price volatility, consolidation of the twin peaks dynamic, and BESS performance.
A timely reminder from the BOM of why 'Apparent Temperature' can be significantly higher than 'Actual Temperature' ... such as across QLD on Saturday 27th Jan 2024 (and also Mon 22nd Jan 2024).
Still trying to make sense of what did and didn't happen in QLD last night, Dan Lee provides some context to how yesterday's record-breaking demand compares to similar historical events.
Geoff Eldridge of Global Power Energy publishes this summary of the demand records that were broken in QLD as the regoin sweltered through hot and humid conditions last night.
The supply side rose to meet the new peak demand level in QLD on 22nd Jan 2024.
In the 16:40 dispatch interval (Monday 22nd January 2024) the 'Market Demand' in Queensland exceeded 11,000MW for the first time ever.
Given the afternoon's receding (and so is the massive amount of solar production seen today) here's a quick look at what else is running, and could possibly ramp up to replace the solar and...
As QLD's market demand record has already been smashed this afternoon, we're keeping a close eye on P5 and P30 forecasts, where actuals are landing significantly above all prior forecasts.
On Monday 22nd Jan 2024 the QLD region has absolutely *smashed* the prior record for regional 'Market Demand'
At 15:40 (Mon 22nd Jan 2024) the demand reached the highest point seen the day before, and is continuing to climb.
An update from ~14:30 Monday 22nd Jan 2024 looking ahead to this evening in QLD.
A quick summary of the bids/offers for each of the generation fuel types in QLD, as we examine the market conditions over the past four days.
A short walk outside prompts a quick look at Brisbane apparent temperature ... equals the high mark set in February 2017
Ashleigh Lange of WeatherZone reports on the high apparent temperatures being felt in South East Queensland today.
Mon 22nd Jan at 10:22 the AEMO has informed the market of possible LOR2 low reserve condition in QLD.
An updated look at those two coal units in QLD that are limping through until a chance for an 'Unplanned Forced Outage'.
A quick update (from 07:35 Mon 22nd Jan 2024) of forecast demand conditions for this evening in QLD.
The middle of the day Sunday (so ~30 hours before the point of interest) sees an opportunity to take an updated look at how extreme AEMO is forecasting Monday (22nd Jan) evening demand in...
This morning (in the article ‘Looking forward, to Monday 22nd January 2024 in Queensland’) I wrote about the forecast LOR2 condition that the AEMO was warning about at the time – looking ahead to...