Summer reflections
Guest author, Carl Daley from EnergyByte, provides this summary of summer 2024 – covering price volatility, consolidation of the twin peaks dynamic, and BESS performance.
Read More2024-01-22 QLD (massively higher!) all time max demand
A not-so-small collection of articles about forecasts for, and what unfolded, on Monday 22nd January 2024 in Queensland.
This was an evening in which there is forecast to be:
1) High demand (early forecasts suggested a new all-time max)
2) Tight supply-demand balance; and
3) So price expectations
… and what unfolded did not disappoint (in terms of records)
A handy reminder from the BOM about why QLD is feeling so hot – on Saturday 27th January 2024
A timely reminder from the BOM of why ‘Apparent Temperature’ can be significantly higher than ‘Actual Temperature’ … such as across QLD on Saturday 27th Jan 2024 (and also Mon 22nd Jan 2024).
Putting Monday’s record-breaking demand in QLD into context (22nd Jan 2024)
Still trying to make sense of what did and didn’t happen in QLD last night, Dan Lee provides some context to how yesterday’s record-breaking demand compares to similar historical events.
Powering Up: Queensland’s Historic Leap in Energy Use
Geoff Eldridge of Global Power Energy publishes this summary of the demand records that were broken in QLD as the regoin sweltered through hot and humid conditions last night.
Supply side delivers to meet record demand in Queensland on 22nd Jan 2024
The supply side rose to meet the new peak demand level in QLD on 22nd Jan 2024.
QLD ‘Market Demand’ cracks 11,000MW … at 16:40 on Monday 22nd Jan 2024 (and continues to climb fast)
In the 16:40 dispatch interval (Monday 22nd January 2024) the ‘Market Demand’ in Queensland exceeded 11,000MW for the first time ever.
What’s running in QLD at 16:35 on Monday 22nd January 2024 … will there be load shedding as solar rolls off?
Given the afternoon’s receding (and so is the massive amount of solar production seen today) here’s a quick look at what else is running, and could possibly ramp up to replace the solar and help to avoid load shedding.
Market demand actuals landing far above forecasts, as market demand continues to blast prior record out of the water, on Monday 22nd of January 2024
As QLD’s market demand record has already been smashed this afternoon, we’re keeping a close eye on P5 and P30 forecasts, where actuals are landing significantly above all prior forecasts.
QLD sees new all-time record for ‘Market Demand’, from 15:45 on Monday 22nd January 2024
On Monday 22nd Jan 2024 the QLD region has absolutely *smashed* the prior record for regional ‘Market Demand’
QLD ‘Scheduled Demand’ reaches 10,052MW (at 15:40 on Monday 22nd Jan 2024) and continues to climb
At 15:40 (Mon 22nd Jan 2024) the demand reached the highest point seen the day before, and is continuing to climb.
QLD ‘Market Demand’ accelerating past 9,200MW … forecast (at 14:25) to reach 10,523MW at 17:30
An update from ~14:30 Monday 22nd Jan 2024 looking ahead to this evening in QLD.
Unpicking the generation mix in QLD over the past four days
A quick summary of the bids/offers for each of the generation fuel types in QLD, as we examine the market conditions over the past four days.
Central Brisbane apparent temperature exceeds 41degC on Mon 22nd Jan 2024
A short walk outside prompts a quick look at Brisbane apparent temperature … equals the high mark set in February 2017
Parts of Brisbane could feel close to 50C today
Ashleigh Lange of WeatherZone reports on the high apparent temperatures being felt in South East Queensland today.
At 10:22, AEMO forecasts possible LOR2 (low reserve condition) for QLD for Monday evening 22nd Jan 2024
Mon 22nd Jan at 10:22 the AEMO has informed the market of possible LOR2 low reserve condition in QLD.
What about those 2 x coal-fired units in QLD we suggested you watch?
An updated look at those two coal units in QLD that are limping through until a chance for an ‘Unplanned Forced Outage’.
As at 07:35 – P30 for ‘Market Demand’ in QLD for Monday 22nd Jan 2024 still forecast a new all-time maximum
A quick update (from 07:35 Mon 22nd Jan 2024) of forecast demand conditions for this evening in QLD.
AEMO’s current forecast sees 3.5 hours in QLD with ‘Market Demand’ above 10,000MW on Mon 22nd Jan 2024
The middle of the day Sunday (so ~30 hours before the point of interest) sees an opportunity to take an updated look at how extreme AEMO is forecasting Monday (22nd Jan) evening demand in QLD will be…
Two coal units to watch, in QLD over coming days – in relation to forecast tight supply-demand on Monday 22nd January 2024
This morning (in the article ‘Looking forward, to Monday 22nd January 2024 in Queensland’) I wrote about the forecast LOR2 condition that the AEMO was warning about at the time – looking ahead to Monday 22nd January 2024. (A) …
Looking forward, to Monday 22nd January 2024 in Queensland
A quick look (Friday morning 19th January) towards Monday evening 22nd January 2024 in Queensland.