Brief Case Study of Sunday 4th February 2024, with low IRPM following high Market Demand
A quick look at the low point for NEM-wide IRPM on Sunday evening 4th February 2024.
Summer 2023-24 in the NEM
A collection of articles pertaining to summer 2023-24 in the NEM – including;
1. Forecasts and concerns ahead of time
2. What unfolded in real time through the summer
3 . More considered articles looking backwards on the summer period.
Summer reflections
Guest author, Carl Daley from EnergyByte, provides this summary of summer 2024 - covering price volatility, consolidation of the twin peaks dynamic, and BESS performance.
Missing megawatts and phantom generation
Seven days ago, AEMO notified the market of a Scheduling Error from 24th Jan 2024 to 7th March 2024. A client asked us what it meant - so guest author Allan O'Neil has helped...
AEMO notifies of Scheduling Error (Incident 60) from 24th Jan 2024 to 7th March 2024
A short note on Thu 21st March 2024, the day the AEMO notifies the market of a Scheduling Error (incident 60) spanning 24th January 2024 to 7th March 2024.
Stanwell unit 1 still (mostly) running Fixed Load (Part 2) … but took time for a TTHL test on Wed 6th March 2024
A short note recording the 'trip to house load' (TTHL) test at Stanwell unit 1 on Wednesday 6th March 2024 ... using the same parts of the plant subject to concerns about fatigue damage.
A quick look back at the coincident short outages at Tarong 1 and Tarong 2 yesterday
It's Thursday 29th Feb 2024 and with 'next day public' bid data we take a look back at the (very similarly profiled) short notice outages at Tarong unit 1 and unit 2 yesterday (Wed...
Both Tarong units back online ~3 hours later
Following the earlier trips ... TARONG#1 has come online, closely followed by TARONG#2.
Two units at Tarong come offline Wednesday morning 28th Feb 2024 … not planned in advance
TARONG#1 has come offline from close to minimum load this morning, closely followed by TARONG#2 (also from close to minimum load) - Wednesday 28th February 2024
Evening volatility in South Australia on Tue 27th Feb 2024 + bushfire risk
A short article, recording the start of evening volatility in South Australia ... and the coincident bushfire risk.
Volatility in QLD and NSW on Monday 26th February 2024
A short record of evening volatility in Queensland and NSW on Monday 26th February 2024.
Thursday 29th February 2024 could be a (relatively) high demand day in NSW
A quick look forward (from Sun 25th Feb) towards Thursday 29th Feb 2024 in NSW
Yesterday’s Record-Breaking Native Demand for Australia’s NEM and Victoria (22nd Feb 2024)
Geoff Eldridge provides a list of some the key records that were broken in the NEM yesterday, thanks particularly to high demand coming from Victoria.
It appears bushfire smoke was negatively impacting rooftop PV production in a material way in Victoria yesterday
Some interesting data coming from our forecast convergence widget yesterday afternoon, hinted to us that bushfire smoke is likely to have been impacting rooftop PV generation levels in Victoria.
Fires linger in Victoria, Tasmania as heat shifts to NSW
Ben Domensino of WeatherZone provides an update on the bushfire danger in Victoria and Tasmania, whilst temperature forecasts are projected to be elevated in northern NSW.
NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’ soars to 32,921MW on Thursday 22nd February 2024
On Thursday 22nd February 2024 the NEMwide demand has reached well above 32,000MW.
Afternoon spot price volatility on a hot day in VIC and TAS … and bushfire limitations
A hot afternoon in VIC and TAS, with bushfires in both states, is driving volatility on Thursday 22nd February 2024
Evening volatility in South Australia on Wednesday 21st February 2024
A quick record of some evening volatility in South Australia on Wednesday evening 21st February 2024
A burst of spot price volatility in QLD and NSW on Tuesday 20th February 2024
A short article using NEMwatch to record the start of spot price volatility in QLD and NSW at 17;55 on Tuesday 20th February 2024.
Victorian renewable generation on 13 February 2024: One picture and a thousand (sorry, many more) words
Guest author, Allan O'Neil, takes us several steps further in understanding the events in Victoria on Tuesday 13th February 2024 - especially with respect to VRE (wind and solar) production.
Part 2: Too much rooftop PV in SA, almost, as forecast for 15th February 2024
An an elevated risk of the contingent disconnection of Distributed PV resurfaces for SA on 15 February 2024 with market notice 114743.