Some price volatility in South Australia on Monday 13th December 2021Read More
Summer 2020-21 in the NEM
A collection of articles discussing events that occur (or are forecast to occur) through summer 2020-21 in the NEM
It’s now seven months since the SCADA outage on Sunday 24th January 2021 – and we’re finally able to complete and publish this (quite long) article exploring some of the implications for units on the LHS of the ‘Q>>NIL_CLWU_RGLC’ constraint equation
More time has elapsed since ‘Part 3’ on 24th March – today I’m posting a shorter piece (Part 4) that explains how RHS of the ‘Q>>NIL_CLWU_RGLC’ constraint equation drove down output and led to the price spike on Sunday 24th January 2021.
It’s taken a while to find the time – but today I’m posting this next analytical piece (Part 3) that seeks to understand what happened on Sunday 24th January 2021 with the NEM-wide SCADA Failure, which contributed to the price spike that occurred in QLD by virtue of what it did to the ‘Q>>NIL_CLWU_RGLC’ constraint equation.
Two months ago prices spiked in QLD on a Sunday afternoon when AEMO lost SCADA data feed. One month ago AEMO published a preliminary report. In the background we have been taking a look…
Monday 22nd February 2021 saw QLD Scheduled Demand rise higher than it has on any other day so far this summer … 576MW below the all-time maximum.
Today (Sunday 14th February 2021) ‘Scheduled Demand’ dropped down again in South Australia – almost setting a new record for ‘lowest point since the start of the NEM (excl System Black)’
Ben Willacy of ITK Services provides his quarterly update on renewable project connection, commissioning, construction and commitment activity for Q1 2021.
Today AGL Energy announces a big impairment … with a big chunk related to long-term wind offtake agreements which AGL entered into between 2006 and 2012.
Short article today observing higher Scheduled Demand in VIC – which appears to be in large part due to state-wide suppression of solar PV production with heavy cloud and rainfall.
Forecasts was that it would be hot across Victoria, and demand would be high, through Monday 25th January 2021. But the cool change arrived early.
Second article today, focusing on what happened late in the afternoon and into the evening in South Australia.
It was forecast it would be a hot day in the southern part of the NEM and it did not disappoint. The hot weather was one of the factors that contributed to price spikes … in Regulation FCAS, and then in QLD and later in South Australia.
Following several different warnings of high temperatures forecast for the lead-in to Tuesday 26th January 2021 (whatever you want to call that day) I’ve taken a quick look at what it’s currently forecast to mean for the NEM…
Wednesday 13th January 2021 was a busy day in the NEM, with a couple of different events occurring. In this article we explore a sudden and unexpected drop in output across both rooftop PV and large-scale solar in South Australia that delivered both price spikes, and also broader questions about emerging challenges for the grid (and market).
Today (Wed 13th Jan 2021) a high temperature alert published by AEMO for the Dalby area in southern QLD prompted a quick look at what the GSD2020 shows, in terms of high-temperature limitations of plant around the Dalby area.
A pretty rare event in the NEM, when two units trip simultaneously … so a short article on WattClarity as a result.
Using an in-development (but soon to be released) widget in ez2view we take a look at forecast availability for coal units in NSW, VIC and QLD for the critical, and normally volatile, Q1 period 2021.
Short note about what might be a new record low point for electricity demand in Victoria on Christmas Day 2020.
As we wind down for Christmas, recapping some developments (in Nov and Dec 2020) about high temperature limitations on generation technology across the NEM.