On the fringes: the outer edges of the NEM remain the most prone to volatile MLFs
To mark the end of the financial year, Dan Lee writes this explainer about MLFs and gives some examples of noticeable long-term MLF trends within the NEM.
Long-Term Market trends and forecasts
Eighteen month trend of daily average spot prices highlights extreme volatility in Q2 2022
The unsuspension of the market is a useful time to reflect on ‘how we got here’ … starting with this 18-month trend of daily average spot prices.
Updated long-range trend of monthly wind statistics (maximum, average and minimum) for the end of May 2022
An updated longer-range trend of monthly aggregate wind statistics (MAX, AVE and MIN per month) to 31st May 2022 … incorporating the new all-time record.
Anatomy of an Energy Crisis, Australian style – part 1
Let’s start with this broader analysis of this 2022 Energy Crisis by looking at the long-term series of monthly average spot prices across all regions…
Blast off! Q3 base-load futures contract prices jump $30/MWh to $40/MWh on Wednesday 25th May 2022
Prompted by a tweet from Dylan McConnell, here’s a trended look at price and volume for baseload ASX Energy futures contracts for Q3 2022 (and the picture’s not pretty).
Exploring some things that could affect a Large-Scale Solar Farm’s value proposition
A short synopsis of my brief presentation last week (Thu 19th May 2022) at CEC Large Solar Forum in Brisbane.
Mainland hydros running hard, as a result of the recent volatility
A short article looking at changing patterns of hydro utilisation on the mainland – particularly with recent volatility.
AEMO releases update to 2021 ESOO following earlier closure announcement for Eraring Power Station
The AEMO published an update to their 2021 ESOO today (Thu 14th April) following some ‘earlier closure’ announcements for Eraring and Bayswater, which also gave the opportunity to study other developments. Here’s some quick thoughts.
Updated monthly statistics for NEM-wide wind production
It’s 1st April 2022, and I have not checked these stats in NEMreview v7 for a while, so I thought I would have a quick look at how a number of the key stats are trending: Quick notes about statistics:…
A briefing on GenInsights21 for Smart Energy Council members
Next Tuesday 5th April 2022 the Smart Energy Council has organised us to provide a briefing on GenInsights21, and what we can learn from this to inform the energy transition.
AEMO Gas Statement of Opportunities (GSOO) flags possible short-term tightness, and longer-term challenges
A short article to mark today’s publication of the GSOO 2022 by the AEMO, and some initial coverage of it.
What does the future hold for Wind and Solar in the NEM – seen via GenInsights21?
Following from the release of GenInsights21, in this article we look at some of what that analytical publication can help us understand, in terms of how the changing market is impacting on the role that renewables will increasingly play in the NEM in the years to come.
David Leitch’s review of GenInsights21
Occasional guest author, David Leitch, grasped an opportunity for an early read of GenInsights21 – and shares some of his observations here with WattClarity readers.
Low points remain (stubbornly low) in NEM-wide wind harvest
Low wind harvest, NEM-wide, was a feature of Tuesday 14th December 2021.
AEMO released draft of 2022 Integrated System Plan
Yesterday, Friday 10th December 2021, the AEMO released it’s draft of the 2022 Integrated System Plan – and it has created a bit of a stir with some of the modelled results.
Recapping where the records sit, in ‘record minimum demand’ following Sunday 17th October 2021 (Part 4)
Capping off a weekend of new low points for minimum demand in NSW, and NEM-wide (and some near misses elsewhere) this table sums up where the low points sit.
TransGrid releases ‘Energy Vision’ – their modelled results on a clean energy future for Australia
On Wednesday 13th October 2021, TransGrid released it’s ‘Energy Vision’, containing modelled results for 6 different scenarios out till 2050.
A Quick Tour of the 2021 ESOO
Guest author, Allan O’Neil, takes an initial look at some of the highlights included in the AEMO’s Electricity Statement of Opportunities for 2021 (a 10-year forecast for what might unfold in the future of the NEM).
No front page media horror stories for AEMO’s 2021 ESOO!
The AEMO’s 2021 ESOO was released this morning. Here’s where you can get it, and some of the articles written about it.
New low mark for production from brown coal on Saturday 28th August 2021
Following comments on social media over the weekend about a new low point for brown coal generation, I took a quick look.