A collation of reports that we thought noting produced by the AEMO
A year on from our 4-part series about the CIS, we take an updated look at the 89 projects awarded across the scheme's five NEM tenders — comparing what proponents have actually announced compared to the status AEMO assigns them for ESOO reliability modelling.
In the past couple weeks (including at ACES 2026, but also elsewhere) it's seemed that the penny has dropped ... only by a miracle will we achieve 82% by 2030.
In anticipation of this month's release of the 2026 ESOO, a short article noting the forecast shortfalls flagged in this Tuesday's updated MT PASA modelling via MN144738 published at 14:52 (NEM time) on Tue 4th August 2026.
It’s Thursday 25th June 2026 and, as it is required to do, the AEMO has released the 2026 iteration of the Integrated System Plan.
The reasonable response is not to model the world as simpler than it is, but to confront its variability head-on: to treat stochastic inputs as stochastic, to plan for the distribution rather than its midpoint, and to build the margin of safety that resilience demands.
An initial overview of the Gas Statement of Opportunities (GSOO) 2026 that has been released today.
In the draft 2026 ISP, the AEMO materially increased wind capacity factor assumptions for several renewable energy zones. In this article, we compare those assumptions against actual capacity and availability factors for wind units across the NEM in 2025.
The AEMO have today released its Q4 2025 QED report, with related headlines in the media about the report focused on lower average wholesale prices and a milestone in which renewables and storage supplied more than half of the NEM’s energy for the first time.
Today (Wednesday 10th December 2025) the AEMO has released the much-awaited* draft of the (upcoming 2026 iteration of the) Integrated System Plan .
On Monday 1st December 2025 (after it was flagged in some media articles) the AEMO released its 154-page '2025 Transition Plan for System Security'.
I’ve been away for the past week and am not back at work yet, but seeing the headline ‘AEMO warns of NSW blackouts if Eraring closes in 2027’ by Angela MacDonald-Smith in the AFR on 1st Dec 2025 diverted my attention.
Adding to the list of articles we've collated about the frequency disturbance on Tuesday 19th August 2025, we're copying in what AEMO published in its 2025 Q3 monitoring report about the glitch.
On or before 13th November 2025, the AEMO published its ‘Frequency Monitoring – Quarter 3 2025’ report:
On Wed 5th November 2025 the AEMO has released its first ‘Thermal Audit’ (redacted) Report, which provides 'a review of the flexibility and capability of the thermal generation fleet'
Amongst the many emails that hit my inbox recently was an email from the AEMC that spoke to the ‘Package of ISP reform underway’ – and specifically these two arms.
A short note to follow the NEMdev 2025 conference (Tue 7th and Wed 8th Oct 2025) and to highlight a comment made by Bruce Mountain about the ISP.
A short note to follow the NEMdev 2025 conference (Tue 7th and Wed 8th Oct 2025) and to highlight a comment made by Sarah Lawley about the ISP.
Today's MT PASA update features forecast tight supply-demand balance in both the SA and NSW regions at various times - in terms of both annual Unserved Energy, and Low Reserve Conditions.
About 4 weeks ago the 2025 ESOO was released. In this article we highlight 3 x 2 different ways this might be viewed - and note some other dimensions not considered.
A short note about some comments made by Oliver Nunn during the 'Faster than Forecast' session at Queensland Clean Energy Summit on Mon 15th Sept 2025.