What (I believe) is the real cause of our energy crisis – and what should we do?
Tristan Edis of Green Energy Markets explains his thoughts on what has caused the evolving energy crisis and what state and federal governments could do in response.
Headline Events
Some key events in the NEM that carried long-term implications
NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’ exceeds 32,000MW on Tuesday 7th June 2022 … highest winter peak in many years!
On Tuesday evening (7th June 2022) the NEM exceeded 32,000MW for a brief period of time … we have a quick look at how this stacks up against prior winter period peak demand events.
AEMO flags ‘recent challenges with fuel availability with potential ongoing implications for reliability in the NEM this winter’
AEMO Market Notice 96853 raises some questions about the rest of Winter 2022 … but also about the broader energy transition.
La Nina is the main cause of high electricity and gas prices
Guest author David Leitch examines the effects of recent rain and how it has disrupted coal production along the east coast.
Anatomy of an Energy Crisis, Australian style – part 1
Let’s start with this broader analysis of this 2022 Energy Crisis by looking at the long-term series of monthly average spot prices across all regions…
What would happen if…?
Have already posted a few articles today, but will leave you with a question that one of our readers asked me earlier today… It’s quite a topical question: 1) with the Cumulative Price Threshold reached in the Victorian DWGM ……
Extended outage of Loy Yang A2 from 15th April 2022
A first look at the extended outage of Loy Yang A2 in Victoria following an electrical fault on Not-So-Good Friday, 15th April 2022.
What Demand-Side Responses can we see in QLD’s heatwave of Tue 1st February and Wed 2nd February 2022?
Taking a look on the demand side of the equation, to see what was visible of demand side responses during the tight supply/demand balance period in Queensland on Tuesday 1st April 2022.
AEMO publishes report on RERT contracted on 1st and 2nd February 2022
In addition to this AEMC Rule Determination, I also noted that AEMO published this ‘RERT Contracted Report for 1st and 2nd February 2022’ back on 2nd March 2022: It’s a short 2-page report that: 1) Provides a list of a…
Rooftop PV output during QLD’s heatwave week 2022 – Part B
In this article we look more closely at 1st and 2nd February 2022 – and particularly at where and when the changes in rooftop PV occurred, narrowing our assessment to south-east Queensland regions. It follows on from Part A which inspected how Queensland rooftop PV output varied at the state level.
Southeast Queensland flooding, 2022 – electricity demand observations
Widespread and heavy rainfall occurred across southeast Queensland during the week ending Sunday 27th February, 2022. The deluge produced some of the highest rainfall totals on record and extensive flooding. Did electricity demand drop in association with network outages?
Rooftop PV output during QLD’s heatwave week – Part A – Regional overview
This article – Part A of a 2 part series – reviews how rooftop PV output varied and considers its influence on Queensland demand on the 1st and 2nd of February, 2022.
AEMO published ‘NEM Event – Directions Report 1 February 2022’
A short (and back-dated) article about the AEMO’s publication of their Directions Report for Tuesday 1st February 2022 during QLD’s heatwave.
Summary view of supply-side contributions in QLD during ‘heatwave week’ – particularly Tue 1st Feb 2022 and Wed 2nd Feb 2022
An initial review of some (wholesale) supply-side factors contributing to the extreme price volatility (and Reserve Trader etc) that occurred in the first week of February 2022 in the QLD region of the NEM.
Demand response dispatched on January 31 2022 in Victoria
Recent WDR activity on January 31 took advantage of the spicy Victorian wholesale energy prices that eventuated in the late afternoon and early evening under unusual circumstances.
Expect the unexpected – It’s the NEM after all
Guest author, Allan O’Neil, returns to WattClarity with this review of southern region prices on Monday 31st January 2022 to highlight one example of counterprice flows on the VIC to NSW interconnector.
A quick look at the 14:30 price spike today (Wed 2nd Feb 2022)
A very brief look at the first significant price spike in QLD on Tuesday 2nd February 2022.
QLD ‘Market Demand’ at 9,869MW at 14:50 … are we going to reach an all-time record?
QLD demand is climbing closer to an ‘all time maximum’ on Tuesday 2nd February 2022 … but an afternoon storm might cool things off.
Demand forecast ‘warming’ for QLD for Tuesday afternoon 2nd February 2022
A first article on Wednesday 2nd February, looking ahead in the AEMO current forecast to what would be (if the forecast holds) a new record for QLD Region ‘Market Demand’
We dodged a bullet today in QLD (Tue 1st Feb 2022) … but there’s new challenges to confront tomorrow (Wed 2nd Feb 2022)
A quick look back at today (Tue 1st Feb) and look forward at tomorrow (Wed 2nd Feb).