This is going to get worse before it gets better, it seems…
Updating this earlier article … at 09:34:22 the AEMO published Market Notice 97064 now noting the maximum load to be shed might be of the order of 513MW … that’s about 1/4 of the consumption in greater Brisbane, for context (though readers should not misinterpret – if it’s controlled, then the pain will be shared across the state).
From : AEMO
To : NEMITWEB1
Creation Date : 13/06/2022 09:34:22
Notice ID : 97046
Notice Type ID : RESERVE NOTICE
Notice Type Description : LRC/LOR1/LOR2/LOR3
Issue Date : 13/06/2022
External Reference : PDPASA – Update of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 3 (LOR3) in the QLD Region on 13/06/2022
AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE
The Forecast LOR3 condition in the QLD region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 97035 has been updated at 0911 hrs to the following:
[1.] From 1700 hrs 13/06/2022 to 2030 hrs 13/06/2022.
The maximum load (other than interruptible loads) forecast to be interrupted is 513 MW at 1730 hrs.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO has not yet estimated the latest time at which they would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
END OF REPORT