Update on AEMO’s forecasts for load shedding – QLD and NSW, today and tomorrow

More on the forecast load shedding for today and tomorrow … with these updates published after 15:00 today:

QLD Region

… for this evening (Mon 13th June 2022).

NSW Region

… for this tomorrow evening (Tue 14th June 2022)

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MARKET NOTICE
——————————————————————-

From : AEMO
To : NEMITWEB1
Creation Date : 13/06/2022 15:01:02

——————————————————————-

Notice ID : 97099
Notice Type ID : RESERVE NOTICE
Notice Type Description : LRC/LOR1/LOR2/LOR3
Issue Date : 13/06/2022
External Reference : PDPASA – Update of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 3 (LOR3) in the QLD Region on 13/06/2022

——————————————————————-

Reason :

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

The Forecast LOR3 condition in the QLD region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 97082 has been updated at 1447 hrs to the following:

[1.] From 1700 hrs 13/06/2022 to 2300 hrs 13/06/2022.
The maximum load (other than interruptible loads) forecast to be interrupted is 1147 MW at 1730 hrs.

Manager NEM Real Time Operations

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END OF REPORT
——————————————————————-

 

So this prognosis is lower in magnitude than the 1,454MW peak forecast at 11:51.

 

This is, I think, the first time we’ve seen forecast load shedding for NSW tomorrow evening…

 

——————————————————————-
MARKET NOTICE
——————————————————————-

From : AEMO
To : NEMITWEB1
Creation Date : 13/06/2022 15:11:32

——————————————————————-

Notice ID : 97103
Notice Type ID : RESERVE NOTICE
Notice Type Description : LRC/LOR1/LOR2/LOR3
Issue Date : 13/06/2022
External Reference : PDPASA – Update of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 3 (LOR3) in the NSW Region on 14/06/2022

——————————————————————-

Reason :

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

The Forecast LOR3 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 97069 has been updated at 1447 hrs to the following:

[1.] From 2000 hrs 14/06/2022 to 2030 hrs 14/06/2022.
The maximum load (other than interruptible loads) forecast to be interrupted is 50 MW at 2000 hrs.

AEMO is seeking a market response.

AEMO has not yet estimated the latest time at which they would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event.

Manager NEM Real Time Operations

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END OF REPORT
——————————————————————-

 

 

That’s all for now.

 


About the Author

Paul McArdle
One of three founders of Global-Roam back in 2000, Paul has been CEO of the company since that time. As an author on WattClarity, Paul's focus has been to help make the electricity market more understandable.

2 Comments on "Update on AEMO’s forecasts for load shedding – QLD and NSW, today and tomorrow"

  1. I wonder if AEMO’s own data centre has been load shed? Seems impossible to load Market notices or price data from either Telstra or AAPT connections at present.

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