Just after 13:00 today, the AEMO published two market notices that spelt AEMO’s update on this view of the likelihood of load shedding being required this evening:
QLD Region
… for Tuesday 14th June 2022 (morning and evening).
NSW Region
… for this evening Monday 13th June 2022
——————————————————————- MARKET NOTICE ——————————————————————-From : AEMO To : NEMITWEB1 Creation Date : 13/06/2022 13:02:44——————————————————————-
Notice ID : 97067 Notice Type ID : RESERVE NOTICE Notice Type Description : LRC/LOR1/LOR2/LOR3 Issue Date : 13/06/2022 External Reference : PDPASA – Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 3 (LOR3) in the QLD Region on 14/06/2022
——————————————————————-
Reason :
AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR3 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the QLD region for the following periods:
[1.] From 0700 hrs to 0730 hrs 14/06/2022. The maximum load (other than interruptible loads) forecast to be interrupted is 171 MW at 0700 hrs.
[2.] From 1730 hrs to 2030 hrs 14/06/2022. The maximum load (other than interruptible loads) forecast to be interrupted is 653 MW at 1900 hrs.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO has not yet estimated the latest time it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
——————————————————————- END OF REPORT ——————————————————————-
——————————————————————- MARKET NOTICE ——————————————————————-From : AEMO To : NEMITWEB1 Creation Date : 13/06/2022 13:03:29——————————————————————-
Notice ID : 97069 Notice Type ID : RESERVE NOTICE Notice Type Description : LRC/LOR1/LOR2/LOR3 Issue Date : 13/06/2022 External Reference : PDPASA – Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 3 (LOR3) in the NSW Region on 14/06/2022
——————————————————————-
Reason :
AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR3 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the NSW region for the following period:
From 1800 hrs to 2030 hrs 14/06/2022. The maximum load (other than interruptible loads) forecast to be interrupted is 409 MW at 1900 hrs.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO has not yet estimated the latest time it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
——————————————————————- END OF REPORT ——————————————————————-
One of three founders of Global-Roam back in 2000, Paul has been CEO of the company since that time.
As an author on WattClarity, Paul's focus has been to help make the electricity market more understandable.
With a Beefeater 5 Burner BBQ on the line , along with a host of other prizes, interested participants of our annual demand forecast competition (entries now closed 🙁 ) would have been keeping a keen eye on demand during the week.
A record of the highest NEM-wide demand so far during summer 2012-13. A useful reference, for all of those who entered our “Best Demand Forecaster in the NEM” competition this time, and for those who sat on the sidelines.
2 Commentson "Forecast LOR3 (load shedding) now spans NSW for Monday evening, 13th June … and QLD tomorrow (morning/evening) as well"
RERT now in QLD too.
tomorrow morning and evening? 14th?