Looking forward into the week ahead in SA … living on the island
A first look forward to the week ahead in South Australia, to what’s forecast in the market at a high level (using an ez2view trend widget).
South Australia
South Australia islanded (and ~80,000 without power), on Saturday 12th November 2022 (and until Friday 18th Nov 2022)
An initial article with the islanding of the South Australian region on Saturday evening, 12th November 2022.
Uncharted territory for rooftop PV in South Australia
Hot on the heels of a new low point for Operational Demand in South Australia on the weekend, this evening AEMO warns of an ‘elevated risk of contingent disconnection of Distributed PV’ tomorrow (Wed 19th Oct 2022).
Overnight volatility in South Australia – part 1
A run of volatility in South Australia lasting ~90 minutes triggered a few alerts.
There’s plenty of wind, but the SA price is still spiking today (Wed 7th Sept 2022)
A quick marker for some volatility thus far today in South Australia.
Morning volatility in South Australia on Thursday 1st September 2022
This morning have been greeted to a run of SMS alerts for volatility in South Australia.
Morning, afternoon and evening volatility in South Australia on Friday 26th August 2022
It’s been recurrent volatility in South Australia today.
Load shedding *briefly* forecast for South Australia on Monday evening 15th August 2022
Another interesting development (briefly) on Wed 10th August was forecast load shedding for South Australia on Monday 15th August 2022
Spot price volatility in South Australia Thursday morning 28th July – second morning in a row
A quick record of some morning volatility in South Australia before the sun rises (second morning in a row)
Morning volatility in South Australia on Friday 8th July 2022
A quick look at this morning’s volatility in South Australia.
AEMO continue to watch for forecast LOR3 … e.g. MN99072 in preliminary forecast for Thu 30th June in SA
With Market Suspension possibly being lifted tomorrow morning, the flagging of forecast LOR3 in *very preliminary* ST PASA run for Thursday 30th June was of interest.
South Australia and then Victoria follow NSW in joining QLD on Administered Pricing
All four mainland regions of the NEM are now under Administered Pricing … with SA and then VIC joining NSW and QLD in quick succession Monday evening 13th June 2022.
IRPM on a NEM-wide basis drops down to 9% again, at 20:05
The IRPM has dropped again this evening, with drops in Available Generation outpacing drops in Demand.
Is South Australia or Victoria next to the CPT … with Administered Pricing also in NSW?
With NSW under Administered Pricing now (<24 since QLD hit that mark) we look at other regions and who might be next domino to fall.
Bizarre pricing continues outside of the QLD region
At 22:40 the price exceeds $10,000/MWh in NSW, VIC and SA … with QLD under Administered Pricing.
After AP is imposed in QLD, volatility started elsewhere
Volatility has ramped up in NSW, VIC, SA and TAS (particularly SA) with QLD under Administered Pricing.
South Australia spikes, with Heywood unconstrained … with QLD under Administered Pricing
A follow-on from Administered Pricing in QLD is the start of some head-scratching market outcomes … such as this spike in South Australia.
Morning price spike in South Australia on Monday 6th June 2022
A quick look at a price spike at 06:45 on Monday morning 6th June … that has some parallels to yesterday evening.
Tight supply-demand balance on Monday evening 30th May 2022 drives prices high and IRPM low
A very quick summary of market volatility touching all regions across Monday 30th May 2022 … but particularly in the evening.
Morning price volatility in South Australia on Tuesday 17th May 2022
A quick look at market volatility in the South Australian region of the NEM on Tuesday 17th May 2022.