Last Thursday (31st Aug 2023) the AEMO published the ESOO 2023, including forecasts of some possibility of unserved energy in Victoria and South Australia this coming summer 2023-24 (above the Interim Reliability Measure). Guest author Allan O’Neil takes a look.
Another interesting development (briefly) on Wed 10th August was forecast load shedding for South Australia on Monday 15th August 2022
Third update for Tuesday 14th June 2022 on the forecasts for LOR3 across the NEM.
An update on this morning’s forecasts from AEMO, published on WattClarity at ~12:00 Tuesday 14th June
A first look today at what’s forecast for load shedding this evening (some very large numbers for both QLD and NSW).
In what is a rapidly evolving situation, we see here another update from the AEMO … extending forecast load shedding into NSW for tomorrow evening as well.
The outlook continues to get worse and worse… forecast load shedding extended to NSW this evening and into QLD tomorrow as well.
AEMO’s updated forecast for load shedding in QLD this evening is for an enormous amount (1,454MW)
AEMO’s now forecasting load shedding for this evening … Monday 13th June 2022
A brief look, this morning, at the (briefly) forecast Load Shedding (i.e. LOR3) conditions for this Thursday 12th May 2022 in South Australia
Taking a look on the demand side of the equation, to see what was visible of demand side responses during the tight supply/demand balance period in Queensland on Tuesday 1st April 2022.
A short morning article, looking forwards to this evening’s forecast tight supply/demand balance (and possible load shedding) in the QLD region.
Hot on the heels of Monday evening’s volatility, the AEMO has forecast LOR3 Low Reserve Condition (i.e. load shedding) might be possible in QLD on Tuesday evening.
A couple SMS alerts to AEMO Market Notices speaking about ‘LOR3’ Low Reserve Condition warnings (i.e. controlled ‘load shedding’) spiked my interest, so I took a look on Thursday afternoon about what’s forecast for Wednesday next week (2nd February 2022) in Queensland…
Watching what’s unfolded in Texas over the past 24 hours has been rather disconcerting … but also prompted questions about the broader energy transition. Here are some thoughts.
My participation in yesterday’s session about ‘Energy Technology – performing under (heat) stress’, organised by the Australian Institute of Energy, was an opportunity to reflect on what I saw as the Four Headline Events that gave example to a great many challenges we will have to grapple with as this energy (and climate) transition gathers pace.
Guest author, Allan O’Neil, provides us an update today on what we can see about summer 2019-20 (in the physical market, and the financial market), now that it is only just around the corner.
Without resiling from last week’s criticism of how the headlines from AEMO’s 2019 Electricity Statement of Opportunities (ESOO) were communicated, it’d be churlish for me to fault the depth of disclosure and data sitting behind those results. Literally tens if…
I’d rather not add to the number of conspiracy theories in circulation, but I wonder if there’s a conspiracy to make understanding our electricity system in general, and its reliability in particular, as difficult as humanly possible. There’s no doubt…