AEMO’s MN120671 forecast LOR3 was published at 15:33 NEM time on Tuesday 19th November 2024 – so it’s worth noting that ~7 hours later, MN120698 was published – with a deeper forecast LOR3 highlighted.
A challenging sequence of events is detailed in the preliminary report on load shedding in NSW on 8 July 2024.
A short (perhaps initial) record of load shedding instructed for NSW on Monday evening 8th July 2024.
Guest author, Allan O'Neil, takes us several steps further in understanding the events in Victoria on Tuesday 13th February 2024 - especially with respect to VRE (wind and solar) production.
At 15:06 AEMO reported *rumours* of transmission towers on the ground in Victoria. Constraint Set data at 15:45 suggests these rumours are not (yet?) confirmed.
At 14:35:00 the AEMO issued Market Notice 114607 requiring Load Shedding in the Victorian region:
Last Thursday (31st Aug 2023) the AEMO published the ESOO 2023, including forecasts of some possibility of unserved energy in Victoria and South Australia this coming summer 2023-24 (above the Interim Reliability Measure). Guest...
Another interesting development (briefly) on Wed 10th August was forecast load shedding for South Australia on Monday 15th August 2022
Third update for Tuesday 14th June 2022 on the forecasts for LOR3 across the NEM.
An update on this morning's forecasts from AEMO, published on WattClarity at ~12:00 Tuesday 14th June
A first look today at what's forecast for load shedding this evening (some very large numbers for both QLD and NSW).
Small celebration!
In what is a rapidly evolving situation, we see here another update from the AEMO ... extending forecast load shedding into NSW for tomorrow evening as well.
The outlook continues to get worse and worse... forecast load shedding extended to NSW this evening and into QLD tomorrow as well.
AEMO's updated forecast for load shedding in QLD this evening is for an enormous amount (1,454MW)
AEMO's now forecasting load shedding for this evening ... Monday 13th June 2022
A brief look, this morning, at the (briefly) forecast Load Shedding (i.e. LOR3) conditions for this Thursday 12th May 2022 in South Australia
Taking a look on the demand side of the equation, to see what was visible of demand side responses during the tight supply/demand balance period in Queensland on Tuesday 1st April 2022.
A short morning article, looking forwards to this evening's forecast tight supply/demand balance (and possible load shedding) in the QLD region.
Hot on the heels of Monday evening's volatility, the AEMO has forecast LOR3 Low Reserve Condition (i.e. load shedding) might be possible in QLD on Tuesday evening.