About the looming (potential) closure of Hazelwood power station
Some initial thoughts following articles about the mooted closure of Hazelwood Power Station as early as April 2017.
Some initial thoughts following articles about the mooted closure of Hazelwood Power Station as early as April 2017.
Articles about Spring in the NEM – September, October, November 2016
Some thoughts about the possible uplift to Infigen Energy revenues, stemming from higher forward contract prices in the South Australian region of the NEM
Quick snap of Ararat Wind Farm starting up in August.
Two slides (from BNEF and AEMO) that provide some context on the energy transition
AEMO issued a Market Notice this morning for an LOR2 “Low Reserve Condition” in South Australia. Here’s my sense of some of what’s happening.
A starting list of factors that I’d look further into, if I was sucked into the “rabbit hole” of assessing all of the contributing factors leading to the Remarkable Prices seen in Q2 2016 – and which could continue into the future.
A figurative illustration of the broad range of people we’re increasingly seeing weighing into the discussion about the future of the energy sector. Itself a challenge for the transition.
Models are simplifications of reality. Some are more precise than others. Some are useful for different purposes.
Quick note about energy transition
Recording early days of electricity production at the Hornsdale Wind Farm
Some initial analysis about the remarkable pricing outcomes seen across all regions of the NEM through Q2 2016
Some brief notes about a changed pricing pattern observed in Q2 2016
A comparison of the output of the two different estimates now available for aggregate state-wide output from small-scale solar PV systems – the ARENA-funded APVI method, and a new method from AEMO
Articles we write through winter 2016 about what we see happening then
Some quick calcs to update a ball-park estimate on the cost of the Tasmanian energy crisis
A quick post to mark the end of brown-coal fired generation in South Australia, with the closure of Northern Power Station
Announcing the winners of our 7 related competitions for “best forecaster in the NEM” summer 2015-16
Over on our Demand-Response focused site, I posted an article yesterday providing a high-level comparison between contract prices for calendar 2015 and final spot prices (for the 4 mainland regions). This was in response to questions from a particular energy user.
One scenario holds that the price of energy supply might drop to the point where it is effectively free. Here’s some of what we’re thinking about…