Part 3 … Victorian demand holding up at higher levels than successive AEMO forecasts
Third article today, focusing on an apparent anomaly between AEMO’s P30 and P5 predispatch forecasts for Victorian demand today (Sun 31st Dec 2023).
Long-Term Market trends and forecasts
Part 2 – What’s running in Victoria today (apart from strong rooftop PV)?
A second article today on this challenging day for the Victorian grid, looking at which supply sources are running.
Demand in Victoria drops to a new lowest point on Sunday 31st December 2023, and AEMO flags possible intervention (Part 1?)
First article today, recording a new ‘lowest ever’ point for demand in Victoria (Sun 31st Dec 2023), and possible intervention from AEMO has it looks to drop further, leading to possible grid instability.
AEMO released draft of 2024 Integrated System Plan … cue the media headlines
It’s Friday 15th December 2023 and the AEMO has published its draft of the 2024 ISP, in time for everyone’s Christmas reading list
Victoria’s ‘Market Demand’ low point drops further–on Sunday 12th November 2023
A quick record of Sun 12th Nov 2023, with ‘minimum demand’ dropping further in Victoria
Bigger or better: Are newer wind farms outperforming older ones?
Dan Lee looks at twenty years of capacity factors for wind farms to see if they are improving in line with recent discussion and long-term modelling assumptions.
No, South Australia is *not* exporting more electricity than it imports…
We’re seeing an increasing number of claims on social media along the lines of ‘South Australia exporting more than it imports’. Whilst that was true around 2019, it’s NOT been the case for a number of years.
Minimum Market Demand in NSW drops lower still, on Sunday 29th October 2023
As the SMS alerts continue, here’s an article to record the new low point for Market Demand in NSW on Sunday 29th October 2023.
Research Paper into solar resource intermittency in future (in a climate changed world)
A quick article on WattClarity pointing to some research completed by Shukla Poddar and others about what future solar profile might be across Australia, in a climate changed world.
NSW region hit new ‘lowest ever’ point for Market Demand on Sunday 8th October 2023
A quick record of a new ‘lowest ever’ point for Market Demand in NSW on Sunday 8th October 2023
Has rooftop PV in South Australia recently been curtailed with these low points for demand?
Echoing a question we’ve been asked – about the extent to which rooftop PV has been curtailed as a result of these minimum demand points.
New lowest point for NEM-wide demand also set on Sunday 1st October 2023
Looking back at yesterday (Sun 1st Oct 2023) it appears to also have seen a lowest point for NEM-wide demand by both measures … lower than the low point set ~2 weeks prior.
‘Minimum Demand’ in South Australia drops further below 0MW on Sun 1st October 2023 – measured by Market Demand
Also noteworthy on Sunday 1st October 2023 was a lower point for ‘minimum demand’ seen in South Australia … with ‘Market Demand’ down to -37MW and ‘Operational Demand’ down to 5MW (just above 0MW)
QLD minimum ‘Market Demand’ (in ordinary times) drops lower still, on Sunday 1st October 2023
Sunday 1st October 2023 and the ‘minimum demand’ point for the QLD region (measured by ‘Market Demand’) has fallen lower still on a sunny spring long weekend.
Negative ‘Market Demand’ in South Australia on Saturday 23rd September 2023
A quick snapshot of one dispatch interval (of a number) seeing negative ‘Market Demand’ in South Australia on Saturday 23rd September 2023.
About the low Operational Demand on Sat 16th Sept and Sun 17th Sept 2023
Following the low levels of demand over the weekend (Sat 16th and Sun 17th Sept 2023) here’s a few quick notes.
QLD’s turn at new lowest point for minimum demand (in ordinary times)
It’s Queensland’s turn today, with a further ratchet lower in minimum demand on Sunday 17th September 2023.
Extended long-term trend of wind production statistics (to the end of August 2023)
For a couple of reasons, I’ve updated/extended the trend of monthly aggregate statistics for wind farms across the NEM … now out till the end of August 2023.
AEMO releases 2023 ESOO on Thursday 31st August 2023 (Australia’s NEM is perched on the edge)
AEMO notes that ‘Australia’s NEM is perched on the edge’ in the 2023 ESOO, released today (Thu 31st Aug 2023)
The VEPC paper ‘No longer lost in transmission’, and the AEMO response
An article today referencing the VEPC paper ‘No longer lost in transmission’ (about extended VNI-West, and the authors proposed alternative ‘Plan B’) and the AEMO’s initial response.