Forecast supply-demand for NSW for Thursday evening 14th December 2023 remains tight
An updated view of the forecast for a tight supply-demand balance for tomorrow (Thu 14th Dec 2023) in NSW.
summer
Brief period of spot volatility in QLD and NSW on Tuesday evening 5th December 2023
Some volatility in QLD and NSW on Tuesday 5th December 2023.
BOM declares that El Niño and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) are underway
Tuesday 19th September 2023 and the Bureau of Meteorology has declared that El Niño and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) are underway
The 2023 ESOO modelling provides a more accurate real world depiction of Wind Farm limitations at high temperatures
One observation about the 2023 ESOO is that AEMO is now modelling (more accurately) the high temperature degradation on wind farm performance.
QLD Market Demand reaches 9,512MW on a hot Sunday afternoon–12th February 2023
A quick look at how Market Demand peaked on a hot Sunday afternoon/evening in QLD.
AEMO contracts Reserve Trader (in QLD, on Fri 3rd Feb 2023), but trigger not yet pulled
AEMO starts the Reserve Trader process for the QLD region this evening (Fri 3rd Feb 2023).
Quick Friday morning look-ahead to Friday evening in QLD
A quick article for Friday (3rd Feb 2023) morning, looking ahead to this evening and what AEMO’s current forecasts are saying for this evening.
Tuesday afternoon look at the (escalating) forecast for Friday 3rd February 2022 … but later the forecast LOR2 was cancelled, and then reinstated
Second article (on Tuesday 31st Jan 2023) looking forward towards a tight supply-demand balance forecast for the QLD region on Friday evening 3rd February 2023.
A subdued start to summer 2022-23
It’s been quite quiet on a price alert front so far this summer … here’s one reason why.
Summary view of supply-side contributions in QLD during ‘heatwave week’ – particularly Tue 1st Feb 2022 and Wed 2nd Feb 2022
An initial review of some (wholesale) supply-side factors contributing to the extreme price volatility (and Reserve Trader etc) that occurred in the first week of February 2022 in the QLD region of the NEM.
A quick look at the 14:30 price spike today (Wed 2nd Feb 2022)
A very brief look at the first significant price spike in QLD on Tuesday 2nd February 2022.
The performance of QLD’s two wind farms through Tuesday 1st February 2022
A quick look at how QLD’s Wind Farms performed today … Tuesday 1st February 2022.
It’s all happening – Intervention, Directions, Reserve Trader, etc…
Here’s just a couple of the strange things that are going on in the NEM this afternoon … particularly in QLD and NSW
Tarong unit 2 trips on Tuesday afternoon (1st February 2022)
Adding into the tight supply-demand dynamic, the coal-fired unit Tarong unit 2 tripped this afternoon.
AEMO commences Reserve Trader negotiations for NSW Region today (Tue 1st Feb 2022)
Third article already today … this one about AEMO and Reserve Trader in the NSW region.
QLD’s forecast LOR3 (Load Shedding) cancelled for today (Tue 1st Feb) – then reinstated, then escalated
A short morning article, looking forwards to this evening’s forecast tight supply/demand balance (and possible load shedding) in the QLD region.
AEMO forecasts *possible* load shedding in QLD on Tuesday 1st February 2022
Hot on the heels of Monday evening’s volatility, the AEMO has forecast LOR3 Low Reserve Condition (i.e. load shedding) might be possible in QLD on Tuesday evening.
Price volatility (and low IRPM) on Monday 31st January 2022 – in QLD, VIC, SA (a first initial review)
A short (and first) look at some of the market activity on a volatile evening in several regions – SA and VIC, and with QLD joining the fray a bit later.
Forecast tight supply/demand balance in Queensland on Monday 31st January, Tuesday 1st and Wednesday 2nd February 2022
A couple SMS alerts to AEMO Market Notices speaking about ‘LOR3’ Low Reserve Condition warnings (i.e. controlled ‘load shedding’) spiked my interest, so I took a look on Thursday afternoon about what’s forecast for Wednesday next week (2nd February 2022) in Queensland…
AEMO says ‘Sufficient electricity supply forecast for summer’
Referencing back to the AEMO’s Summer Readiness Plan (for summer 2021-22) published on Friday 3rd December 2021.