Mid-afternoon prices elevated with modest wind and modest solar
A quick look at elevated prices mid afternoon on Monday 3rd July 2023.
low wind production
A run of high prices seen in SA this morning Wednesday 28th June 2023
Earlier LOR conditions forecast for SA this morning did not eventuate to an actual, but the region was hit with a short run of price spikes.
Currently forecast LOR2 for South Australia for Wednesday 10th May 2023
A first look at a forecast for tight supply-demand conditions for South Australia on Wednesday 10th May 2023.
A spike at 16:15 hints at volatility to resume in SA with the sun setting, on Thursday 4th May 2023
A second article today about volatility in South Australia
Relatively low wind harvest through Sunday 30th April is a reminder of challenges in the energy transition
A quick article on Sunday evening to highlight the difference between sunlight hours and darkness hours in terms of pricing patterns today (the weekend following the closure of Liddell).
Wind not blowing in Queensland this afternoon as demand begins to rise
With demand beginning to rise sharply output at Queensland’s four wind farms has been muted so far this afternoon.
Volatility in South Australia on Thursday afternoon 17th November 2022
With low wind production in South Australia on Thursday 17th November, limited import capability and curtailment of rooftop PV, the price has spiked on Thursday afternoon
Low wind on Friday 4th November 2022
Following a client request on Friday 4th November, here’s a quick look at the low wind conditions occurring on that day.
Updated monthly statistics for NEM-wide wind production … to the end of August 2022
A quick updated look at how Aggregate Wind-Farm Production has trended since 2010 to now.
Instantaneous NEM-wide production from wind on Fri 26th Aug 2022 was lowest in eleven months
Looking back at Friday 26th August 2022 we see that it was not only South Australia that was becalmed. All but one of the wind farms operating in the NEM showed quite low output levels – meaning lowest aggregate level in 11 months!
Morning, afternoon and evening volatility in South Australia on Friday 26th August 2022
It’s been recurrent volatility in South Australia today.
Seasons of low wind and solar output will influence the shape of the NEM
Geoff Bongers, Nathan Bongers and Andy Boston have prepared this guest authored article following on from their recently published paper about the characterisation and mitigation of renewable droughts in the NEM.
One more factor to consider … wind harvest drops under 1,000MW on Monday evening, NEM wide
Adding to the complexity of a dire supply-demand balance, aggregate production from wind has dropped below 1000MW today.
Short-term wind lull on Friday 27th May 2022
A quick look into the short-term wind lull spanning more than daylight hours on Friday 27th May 2022.
Updated monthly statistics for NEM-wide wind production
It’s 1st April 2022, and I have not checked these stats in NEMreview v7 for a while, so I thought I would have a quick look at how a number of the key stats are trending: Quick notes about statistics:…
The performance of QLD’s two wind farms through Tuesday 1st February 2022
A quick look at how QLD’s Wind Farms performed today … Tuesday 1st February 2022.
Price volatility in South Australia on Thursday 30th December (2nd day in a row) – and High Temperature alerts broadened
A short article following a price spike in SA on Thursday afternoon, 30th December 2021
Low points remain (stubbornly low) in NEM-wide wind harvest
Low wind harvest, NEM-wide, was a feature of Tuesday 14th December 2021.
Low wind production (inside NSW+QLD) was one other factor contributing to price volatility in Q2 2021
As Q2 2021 unfolded, it seemed that there were many instances where prices spiked during evening demand peaks – and that wind output was low at the time. So I took a closer statistical look…
A list of (some of) the factors contributing to the volatile price outcomes seen in Q2 2021 – particularly QLD and NSW
Prompted by last Friday’s publication of the AER’s ‘Wholesale Markets Quarterly’ for Q2 2021, here’s a tabulated summary of some of the contributing factors of spot price volatility (and hence high average prices) for the quarter – particularly for QLD and NSW.