A collation of articles tagged with ‘Forecast Convergence’ – which is a way of looking at that other dimension of time.
These might be:
1) Articles using the ‘Forecast Convergence’ widget within our ez2view software;
2) Or it might be other representations of the same concept, such as in our GenInsights Quarterly Updates report.
Our fourth article looking forward to this Friday afternoon (3rd February 2023) in the Queensland region, where successive AEMO STPASA forecast data is showing considerable variability about what peak demand might be for the...
Following a client request on Friday 4th November, here's a quick look at the low wind conditions occurring on that day.
A quick look at a brief price spike in NSW and QLD on Friday evening 28th October - which appears to be related to a Ravine -Yass(2) 330kV line outage.
A quick initial look at (what appears to be) a strange aberration in the AEMO forecast data, with load shedding briefly forecast in NSW tomorrow morning.
It's taken longer than expected - but today I've posted this article that goes some way to answering the question 'to what extent was solar production disappointing through periods of Q2 2022?'
In this article we explain a different (and sometimes quite powerful) way of reviewing some performance metrics in relation to the passage of another dimension of time.
A follow-on second look at the volatility experienced in South Australia around midnight beginning Thursday 8th September 2022.
With Market Suspension possibly being lifted tomorrow morning, the flagging of forecast LOR3 in *very preliminary* ST PASA run for Thursday 30th June was of interest.
An update on our thinking about LOR forecasts, under these 'far from normal' current market conditions.
Following from the release of GenInsights21, in this article we look at some of what that analytical publication can help us understand, in terms of how the changing market is impacting on the role...
A second 'mystery DUID' puzzle ... perhaps more complex than the first ... from GenInsights21, for those who like to be challenged in ways like these.
Following from the ESB's Final Advice, and inspired by the one year anniversary of publications the MT PASA DUID Availability data sets by AEMO (thanks to the ERM-sponsored rule change) we take a quick...
Returning to the price spike in NSW on Wednesday morning (to $15,100/MWh for 3 dispatch intervals) to explore some of the reasons why it happened - and why it happened unexpectedly.
Day-ahead demand forecasts will be integral to any future 'Ahead Market'. We take a look at the current state and accuracy trend of demand forecasts made 24 hours ahead as part of the broader...
A short article, flagging three potential tripwires we'd like to ensure NEM participants and other stakeholders are aware of in the lead-up to two significant market changes from October 2021.
Considering the extraordinary weather, bushfires, and a couple of large Victorian generators still not back from long term repairs, last week was probably less eventful for the NEM than might have been expected, but...
A first look back at yesterday (Friday 20th December 2019) in the Victorian region - where we saw extreme temperatures, high demand across VIC and SA and (perhaps because of high temperatures) a large...
Four weeks ago, we observed a significant discrepancy between AEMO's forecast for (what would have been) a record low point for Scheduled Demand in South Australia and what actually eventuated. We've now had time...
AEMO's demand forecasts for Saturday 6th January 2017 were about 500MW below what the mark turned out to be. It appears that this is due (at least in part) due to difficulties in forecasting...
Today (Wednesday 27th December) sees some wild gyrations in aggregate wind farm output across South Australia. The (current) impossibility in forecasting these gyrations accurately is one of the factors contributing to higher prices seen...