Tight supply/demand forecast for NSW on Thursday 10th June 2021
A quick note on Tuesday evening, looking ahead to Thursday (10th June) with AEMO forecasting LOR2 in NSW with the cold snap, and enquiring about Generator Recall.
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Discussion about electricity prices – following the Callide C4 Catastrophe
Discussion in a number of different places (including an AFR article today) prompted me to pull some data together of how (spot and futures) prices have trended through...
Administered Pricing reached for Raise 6 second (Contingency) FCAS in Queensland
High Contingency FCAS prices (Raise 6 second) in response to what's happened at Callide Power Station drove the Cumulative Price to (6 times) the Cumulative Price Threshold. Administered...
Spot market volatility report – Thursday 3rd June 2021 (as at 17:54)
Evening spot price volatility has become a regular thing - here's some of it for Thursday 3rd June 2021
AEMO estimates it paid $11,612.33/MWh for Reserve Trader on Tuesday 25th May 2021 in QLD
A short note, following AEMO reporting estimated costs for RERT (Reserve Trader) on Tuesday 25th May 2021 in QLD.
Josh Stabler highlights possible issues with supply of replacement turbine for Callide C4
On LinkedIn this afternoon, Josh Stabler (of Energy Edge) identified another consideration for the repair process for the significantly damaged Callide C4 steam turbine.
Gas-fired generation up following the Callide C4 Catastrophe
A client sent in this ez2view image this afternoon pointing out another factor that's been occurring in the absence of 4 x Callide units - markedly increased production...
And so the daily solar bedtime story continues … on Wednesday 2nd June 2021 (with 4 x Callide units off, etc…)
Only two dispatch intervals (thus far?) of extreme pricing tonight for QLD and NSW (Wed 2nd June 2021). Here's the first one...
Ten Years of Performance History for Callide C4, from the GSD2020
In order to assist discussions on social media about what's been happening with Callide C4 over the past 10 years, using the GSD2020 I've published some actual detailed...
AEMO releases Preliminary Report: Trip of multiple generators and lines in Queensland and associated under-frequency load shedding on 25 May 2021
The AEMO has released its 22-page Preliminary Report into the Callide C4 Catastrophe and the subsequent events.
Initial look at System Strength constraints (curtailing north QLD Solar and Wind) in Event 3 on Tuesday 25th May 2021
We've started exploring the constraint data from the QLD region for back on Tuesday 25th May 2021 (with the Callide C4 catastrophe) and here's some initial information.
Some good information about what happened with Callide C4 inside the AFR today
A note of thanks to Mark Ludlow at the AFR for the compilation of some great initial information about what happened at Callide C4 unit just over a...
Updated list of events on 25th May 2021 that we’ll be investigating – time permitting
For ease of future reference, here is the list of events that occurred on Tuesday 25th May 2021 ... as we (currently) see them.
Price Volatility (now a regular evening event for QLD and NSW) on Tuesday 1st June kicked along by Darling Downs outage.
A number of things happened late today - with the trip of DDPS1 (only declare credible contingency earlier in the day) giving more impetus to spot price volatility...
Delayed Return to Service for Callide B1, B2 and C3
First short article for Tuesday evening following report from CS Energy that the return to service
10 million reasons why we need to talk about NEM generator operations
James Tetlow from Overwatch Energy explains an important rule change that was recently introduced that has seen a significant increase in the civil penalties for generators who fail...
First pass review of bidding behaviour on Tuesday 25th May 2021 in Queensland, after Event 2
This evening I've taken a first pass look at how QLD generators bid on Tuesday 25th May 2021, in response to the tight supply/demand balance created by the...
Plenty of things went wrong in Queensland last Tuesday, but some very important things went right
Whilst there were many things that went wrong on Tuesday 25th May 2021 (last week), guest author Allan O'Neil highlights that there were at least 4 things that...
Callide C Catastrophic Failure
Carl Daley from EnergyByte, provides more insight into the events of last Tuesday, which culminated in widespread blackouts throughout Queensland.
Prices Spike on Sunday 30th May with low NEM-wide IRPM (without 4 Callide units, and low Wind Production)
On Friday evening (28th May) and again this evening (Sun 30th May) my phone buzzed plenty of times - due to price volatility, and also alerting on low...