Peak production from Wind Farms across the NEM blasts past prior all-time record Friday evening 7th July 2023
A quick look at the new all-time record for wind production, NEMwide, on Friday evening 7th July 2023
Long-Term Market trends and forecasts
Some revelations in GenInsights Q4 2022 about Aggregate Raw Off-Target for Semi-Scheduled units
In today’s article (a third snippet from GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q4 2022) we take a look at levels of large ‘Aggregate Raw Off-Target’ (i.e. large collective deviations away from Target), which continue to grow for the Semi-Scheduled category and remind us of that question …
A quick look at EnergyAustralia’s outage plans for Yallourn Power Station
Prompted by the massive loss reported by CLP for its EnergyAustralia business, and plans for major outages for 4 units at Yallourn, we took a quick look using ez2view at outage plans.
Examining the $112/MWh revenue that Genex’ Jemalong Solar Farm generated in Q4 2022
Dan Lee uses our hot-off-the-press GSD2022 to examine the Q4 revenue figures that Genex Power recently released for Jemalong Solar Farm.
Using the (draft of) GSD2022 to investigate those Solar Farms suffering significant curtailment
An article on RenewEconomy this week (about some analysis by analysts at ANU) coincided with our review of sequential drafts of the GSD2022, and prompted this article to have a look at some reported lost production at a number of solar farms across the NEM.
Back to the future
Greg Thorpe of Oakley Greenwood discusses some of the latest developments in the electricity sector which could be described as ‘back to the future’.. and provides a forecast of what might follow.
Long-range trend of Instantaneous Reserve Plant Margin (IRPM) and focus on Q3 2022 – from GenInsights Quarterly
One of the metrics we introduced into GenInsights Quarterly Update for 2022 Q3 was a long-range review of IRPM (Instantaneous Reserve Plant Margin). In this article we share a little of what we found.
EY-ROAM modelling for Queensland Energy Plan released
It’s under 2 weeks since the Queensland Government released its much-awaited Energy Policy. Some reports into the modelling behind this (from EY-ROAM) has been released.
How much capacity would be required to replace Loy Yang A power station?
Following the published note of scepticism/concern about the energy transition from several industry CEOs in the AFR on Friday, we take a quick look at the replacement capacity needs just for Loy Yang A power station to illustrate the enormous scale of the challenge.
AGL announces that they might close Loy Yang A as early as 2035 … 10 years earlier than previously stated
Also on Thursday 29th September 2022 we had AGL Energy’s ‘earlier than previously stated’ closure announcement for Loy Yang A power station.
QLD Government releases ‘Energy and Jobs Plan’
On Wednesday 28th September 2022 the Queensland Government has launched its much awaited Energy Policy.
Two charts from ‘Smart Energy Queensland’ presentation, illustrating the electricity supply mix in Queensland
Following a presentation today at ‘Smart Energy Queensland’ here are two slides to start with – illustrating the fuel mix in electricity supplies in the NEM.
Updated monthly statistics for NEM-wide wind production … to the end of August 2022
A quick updated look at how Aggregate Wind-Farm Production has trended since 2010 to now.
AEMO releases 2022 ESOO on Wednesday 31st August 2022
Here’s where to find the 2022 ESOO – and also what I’ve seen (thus far) of external commentary about what’s revealed and discussed in the ESOO.
Substantially different than a year ago, the 2022 ESOO points to challenges ahead in the supply/demand balance
With the AEMO releasing the 2022 ESOO on Wednesday morning 31st August 2022 with the limited time I have available right now I’ve had a quick look, and in this article highlight some things that jumped out to me.
Instantaneous NEM-wide production from wind on Fri 26th Aug 2022 was lowest in eleven months
Looking back at Friday 26th August 2022 we see that it was not only South Australia that was becalmed. All but one of the wind farms operating in the NEM showed quite low output levels – meaning lowest aggregate level in 11 months!
Reviewing price patterns in Q2 2022 … anatomy of an Energy Crisis
After many years in a row, we return (in the midst of the ‘2022 Energy Crisis’) to review the pricing patterns in the NEM and the WEM for Q2 2022.
On the fringes: the outer edges of the NEM remain the most prone to volatile MLFs
To mark the end of the financial year, Dan Lee writes this explainer about MLFs and gives some examples of noticeable long-term MLF trends within the NEM.
Eighteen month trend of daily average spot prices highlights extreme volatility in Q2 2022
The unsuspension of the market is a useful time to reflect on ‘how we got here’ … starting with this 18-month trend of daily average spot prices.
Updated long-range trend of monthly wind statistics (maximum, average and minimum) for the end of May 2022
An updated longer-range trend of monthly aggregate wind statistics (MAX, AVE and MIN per month) to 31st May 2022 … incorporating the new all-time record.