A tale of two mega-projects: Project Energy Connect and Snowy 2.0 timelines (Part 2)
In the second half of this two-part case study we look at a timeline of the Snowy 2.0 project, and discuss the history of mega-projects in the NEM.
Read MoreA collection of articles being published on WattClarity over time that analyse and comment on the ongoing (but changing) requirement in the need for firming capacity.
A number of these articles feature analysis of the metric ‘Aggregate Scheduled Target’.
In the second half of this two-part case study we look at a timeline of the Snowy 2.0 project, and discuss the history of mega-projects in the NEM.
Read MoreA quick record of Tamar Valley CCGT coming offline yesterday (Tue 23rd July 2024) after 40 days of solid operations through a low-rain and low-wind winter in Tasmania.
Five weeks on from the re-start of production at Tamar Valley CCGT, it’s still running (and water storage levels in TAS are still low).
Given what’s happened for Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday evening this week (and even tighter supply-demand balance forecast for Thursday evening) we take a look at the correlation between low IRPM and low Capacity Factor across all Wind Farms.
On Tuesday 18th June 2024, Tallawarra B was running for a period (after a lengthy period offline).
Early in June 2024 we see the Tamar Valley CCGT unit running strongly in Tasmania for the first time in just over 5 years … part of the strongest run of gas-fired generation in TAS in a long time.
Following Colin Packham’s article in the Australian, we take a look in the market data at EnergyAustralia’s Tallawarra B
An (initial and) short review of the solid block of high aggregate wind yield over the ~3 day date range (late Tuesday 28th May 2024 to late Friday 31st May 2024) … and how much this was expected in advance.
Coincidentally today, David Osmond has posted about ‘another challenging week’ for VRE NEM-wide (a week beginning Wed 8th May 2024 – the day NSW hit the Cumulative Price Threshold).
Enroute to Melbourne today for the EUAA National Conference starting tomorrow, I grabbed some flight time to have a quick read through the Grattan Institute’s latest offering – a 45-page report appropriately titled ‘Keeping the Lights on’: Quite topical that…
A short article this morning to note about a Working Paper from CAEEPR that touches on important (and not well understood?) aspects of this energy transition, as it relates to Firming Capacity requirements.
Almost 2.5 years since we released GenInsights21, today we’re publishing this article that contains a precis of the analysis included as Appendix 27 under the title ‘Exploring Wind Diversity’.
Worth noting these three recent news articles from the past 8 days, all pertaining to the slated closure of the Eraring Power Station as early as 19th August 2025 (under 18 months away), but reporting different perspectives.
A 2nd short article falling out of GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2023 Q4. This one looks at Sunday 12th November 2023 and shows the lowest point in 2023 for NEM-wide Aggregate Scheduled Target (and the largest ramp in Q4).
A short article looking at Friday 8th December 2023 looking at NEM-wide Aggregate Scheduled Target on the day.
A brief record, using ez2view, of the very early output data for EnergyAustralia’s Tallawarra B station.
A bout of severe weather for many parts of south-eastern Australia brought challenging weather conditions which appear to have impacted variable renewable energy forecasts for the NEM. The case study delves into forecast differences on the 7th, 8th and 9th of September 2023.
The first part of a Case Study looking at a large 5-minute ramp in ‘Aggregate Scheduled Target’ in the middle of the day (an unusual time) on Friday 8th September 2023
The Media Release from the NSW Department of Energy on 22nd November 2023 noting 1,075MW of new firming capacity in NSW – targeting operational date of December 2025.
In his second article about the 2023 ESOO, guest author Allan O’Neil takes a look at what the AEMO has published with respect to various options for firming capacity to increase the reliability of aggregate supply to below the two thresholds (the Reliability Standard and the Interim Reliability Standard)