With respect to forecasts for peak NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’ in summer 2024-25 (and particularly following Friday’s article) we fielded a few questions about how extreme that might be. So we thought we’d provide this article as some context.
Inspired (or provoked) by Paul’s earlier article noting ‘NEM-wide demand has been quite low through summer 2023-24 (at least to date)’, guest author Allan O’Neil takes a look at how aggregate consumption stacks up for this summer, compared to prior.
On Tuesday evening (7th June 2022) the NEM exceeded 32,000MW for a brief period of time … we have a quick look at how this stacks up against prior winter period peak demand events.
Published at 12:02, this is a view looking forward to the expected (very high) peak in electricity demand across the NEM this evening.
A quick look (ahead of time) at what looks set to be a very high level of electricity demand right across the NEM tomorrow evening, Friday 31st January 2020. Just in time for the Australian Open semi-finals.
Announcing the winners of our 7 related competitions for “best forecaster in the NEM” summer 2015-16
It’s not even summer yet and we’ve already exceeded the high point of summer 2014-15 with the current hot weather…
The competition is back, for another summer (with 7+1 prizes on offer). Read through for details…
Laying out the framework for the analysis I’m doing for my presentation at All Energy 2015 – about the role Demand Response might play in a future market dominated by intermittent generation
Some analysis of what happened with NEM-wide demand this summer
With only 4 days remaining (till Fri 9th Jan) here’s some tips about what the peak NEM-wide demand might be this summer, to help you submit your forecast before the deadline.
Our popular competition returns, with some added spice as a thank-you to clients who have supported us in our 15 years of operation.
Our regular light-hearted competition is back (now in its 8th year). Are you the best demand forecaster in the NEM this year?
A clear view of who are the bears, and who are the bulls, in terms of where they have forecasted the peak demand for summer 2012-13 will finally land.
A longer-term look at how summer (peak and average) demand has trended over the 15 years of NEM history to date.
Here’s our regular, annual and popular call-to-calculators for all those who’ve drawn the short straw and have to work on through the Christmas -to- New Year this summer season. Turn the tables on those off enjoying some summer sun, or skiing way up north by getting your entry in – with a chance to be anointed “Best Demand Forecaster in the NEM” and celebrate with your own new BBQ (or some other new prizes).
Demand was lacklustre but we’ve still given an impressive BBQ away to our competition winner for this summer….
Some summary points about how NEM-Wide demand across the NEM over summer 2011-12 was surprisingly low, with a very low peak achieved.
Looking further (after making the first post today) I see that the demand did rise above 30,000MW across the Australian National Electricity Market today – still a very low level for the highest demand so far this summer…
A quick look at how NEM-wide demand has trended so far this summer (to define the starting point for our competition entrants).
This brief look raises questions about the demand seen in December 2011, so we compare against previous years.