Spot price volatility in QLD and NSW on Sunday 19th March 2023
A quick record of the start of volatility on Sunday evening 19th March 2023.
NSW
Actual LOR2, and a run of volatility in NSW and QLD … only 34 days till the closure of Liddell unit 4
Looks like we’ve (sort of) dodged the Reserve Trader bullet on Thursday evening 16th March 2023 … but still poses plenty of questions.
AEMO commences RERT negotiations in NSW on Thursday 16th March 2023
Second post for this afternoon/evening following AEMO announcement to commence RERT Negotiations for this evening in NSW.
NSW ‘Market Demand’ above 13,000MW on a hot Monday 6th March 2023 … and Actual LOR1
On Monday afternoon 6th March 2023 a late burst of summer in NSW has driven Market Demand above 13,000MW.
Forecasts for a hot Monday 6th March in NSW, and potential LOR2 in the evening (now also Tuesday evening)
Could be a hot one in (Sydney and) NSW on Monday 6th March 2023 … with AEMO forecasting potential LOR2 low reserve condition.
A new lowest point for NSW demand on Saturday 29th October 2022
Electricity demand in NSW has dropped to a new ‘lowest in NEM history’ point on Saturday 29th October 2022
Quick initial notes about price spike at 17:30 on Friday 28th October 2022
A quick look at a brief price spike in NSW and QLD on Friday evening 28th October – which appears to be related to a Ravine -Yass(2) 330kV line outage.
AEMO briefly forecasts load shedding for NSW on Saturday morning 8th October (possibly data glitch?)
A quick initial look at (what appears to be) a strange aberration in the AEMO forecast data, with load shedding briefly forecast in NSW tomorrow morning.
Minimum Demand drops lower, on Sunday 25th September 2022 – for the NSW region, and also NEMwide
A short article on Sunday 25th September 2022 to record some new low points for ‘minimum demand’ in the NSW region, and on a NEMwide basis.
RERT dispatched through Friday night in NSW
On Friday evening AEMO dispatched Reserve Trader for a long period of time.
RERT dispatched in NSW – at 17:30 on Wednesday 15th June 2022
RERT (Reserve Trader) dispatched in NSW.
RERT (Reserve Trader) dispatched in NSW on Tuesday evening 14th June 2022
A short note about RERT being dispatched in NSW on Tuesday evening 14th June.
RERT (Reserve Trader) in QLD and NSW on Tuesday 14th June 2022
A quick article about reserve trader for Tuesday 14th June 2022.
11am forecasts for LOR3 (load shedding) across the NEM for Tuesday 14th June 2022
A first look today at what’s forecast for load shedding this evening (some very large numbers for both QLD and NSW).
Tuesday morning’s first update – including this evening’s forecast LOR3 (load shedding) in NSW
First update on Tuesday 14th June … with load shedding still forecast for this evening in NSW
Is South Australia or Victoria next to the CPT … with Administered Pricing also in NSW?
With NSW under Administered Pricing now (<24 since QLD hit that mark) we look at other regions and who might be next domino to fall.
NEM-wide IRPM down to only 13%
It’s 17:30 and the white knuckle ride through this evening begins…
Forecast LOR3 (load shedding) now spans NSW for Monday evening, 13th June … and QLD tomorrow (morning/evening) as well
The outlook continues to get worse and worse… forecast load shedding extended to NSW this evening and into QLD tomorrow as well.
Bizarre pricing continues outside of the QLD region
At 22:40 the price exceeds $10,000/MWh in NSW, VIC and SA … with QLD under Administered Pricing.
After AP is imposed in QLD, volatility started elsewhere
Volatility has ramped up in NSW, VIC, SA and TAS (particularly SA) with QLD under Administered Pricing.