A Saturday morning review of the situation in Victoria, with supplies from Yallourn restricted due to flooding in the Latrobe Valley ... coincident with other factors
First price spike at sunset (Friday 11th June 2021) ... presumably with a number more bounces to go through the evening.
Flooding in the Latrobe Valley town of Traralgon raises questions about whether there is any effect on the brown coal generators.
A short note about some further delays in return to service for Callide B1 and C3 ... though earlier return for B2
A short article noting volatility rolls into Thursday evening, 10th June 2021
In this article we discuss the 1st of 3 Potential Tripwires that wholesale market participants and others will encounter from October 2021 ... with Tripwire #1 coming from the implementation of Five Minute Settlement.
A short article, flagging three potential tripwires we'd like to ensure NEM participants and other stakeholders are aware of in the lead-up to two significant market changes from October 2021.
A short note about the first of the volatility on Wednesday 9th June 2021.
A quick note on Tuesday evening, looking ahead to Thursday (10th June) with AEMO forecasting LOR2 in NSW with the cold snap, and enquiring about Generator Recall.
Discussion in a number of different places (including an AFR article today) prompted me to pull some data together of how (spot and futures) prices have trended through 2021, and how they changed with...
High Contingency FCAS prices (Raise 6 second) in response to what's happened at Callide Power Station drove the Cumulative Price to (6 times) the Cumulative Price Threshold. Administered Pricing began Saturday evening for QLD.
Evening spot price volatility has become a regular thing - here's some of it for Thursday 3rd June 2021
A short note, following AEMO reporting estimated costs for RERT (Reserve Trader) on Tuesday 25th May 2021 in QLD.
On LinkedIn this afternoon, Josh Stabler (of Energy Edge) identified another consideration for the repair process for the significantly damaged Callide C4 steam turbine.
A client sent in this ez2view image this afternoon pointing out another factor that's been occurring in the absence of 4 x Callide units - markedly increased production from gas-fired generation.
Only two dispatch intervals (thus far?) of extreme pricing tonight for QLD and NSW (Wed 2nd June 2021). Here's the first one...
In order to assist discussions on social media about what's been happening with Callide C4 over the past 10 years, using the GSD2020 I've published some actual detailed performance metrics.
The AEMO has released its 22-page Preliminary Report into the Callide C4 Catastrophe and the subsequent events.
We've started exploring the constraint data from the QLD region for back on Tuesday 25th May 2021 (with the Callide C4 catastrophe) and here's some initial information.
A note of thanks to Mark Ludlow at the AFR for the compilation of some great initial information about what happened at Callide C4 unit just over a week ago (on Tue 25th May...