Looks set for a peak demand in QLD on Wednesday up near the all-time maximum
Currently (as at Monday morning 11th February) AEMO forecasts indicate that Queensland electricity demand on Wednesday afternoon will come very close to an all-time record.
Articles by Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients.
Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.
AGL Investor Presentation reports on Portfolio Availability–we take a look for key Stations
AGL released its investor presentation yesterday - several people flagged the availability stats within the presentation (they knew we were looking at aspects of reliability for our Generator...
Two points about the high demand & prices, and the load shedding, on Friday 25th January 2019
Two quick notes about what happened in Victoria on Friday 25th January 2019 following conversations with a number of people.
The north Queensland deluge cuts solar production
A quick look at the effect that the monsoonal rains in northern Queensland are having on several power generation options in northern Queensland.
Looking backwards over the past 2 weeks in the NEM
Back at work this week and (with curiosity getting the better of me) I have another look at what happened last Thursday and Friday in the South Australian...
My first look at the highs, and lows, in Victoria and South Australia on Thursday 24th January 2019
A first look at some of the action seen in the southern parts of the NEM on Thursday 24th January 2019 as a result of the latest crazy...
Hot weather forecast to drive demand past 31,000MW next Tuesday 15th January
With high temperatures forecast to return to the NEM next week, we take a quick look at the AEMO's demand forecast.
Extensive review of Units Off-Target, as part of Generator Report Card 2018
Some brief analysis, on the sidelines of our data gathering for the Generator Report Card 2018, looking at the changing incidence of Aggregate Absolute Off-Target for DUIDs across...
[UPDATED] Off-Target #4 – Disregard Targets – Lake Bonney in July 2018 (and possibly others)
Two examples where units (in these cases Semi-Scheduled) appeared to disregard dispatch targets.
Off-Target #3 = Forecasting Output Difficult – Macarthur WF on 11th August 2018
One example of where forecasting wind output seemed to be more difficult than we would hope it could be. Something to be further explored in the Generator Report...
Off-Target #2 = Unit failed to start – Braemar A3 on 29th August 2018
One example of a thermal unit failing to start. We will endeavour to explore how often this happens as part of the Generator Report Card 2018.
Off-Target #1 = Unit trip – Mt Piper Unit 2 on 24th October 2018
Highlighting one example of a unit trip. We expect we will find many in the process of compiling our Generator Report Card 2018 - the bigger question being...
Number crunching begins, for Generator Report Card 2018 (such as with transmission constraints)
Data compilation of the Generator Report Card is underway, given we've stepped over into 2019. Here's a summary insight about the nature of coverage of bound constraint equations...
High temperatures (and high demand) forecast for QLD this Friday
A quick look at AEMO's current forecasts for Friday (prompted by a few conversations externally)...
Dispatch Price spikes above $12,000/MWh in VIC and SA today
Two quick snapshots of a high priced day in Victoria and South Australia - with the price jumping above $12,000/MWh at 15:50
Villain #5c – too much focus on COST, not enough focus on VALUE
Some thoughts (triggered by the latest wave of focus on "cost" on social media this week) about why we need to rapidly shift our focus to what customers...
Central Queensland to Southern Queensland flows constrained today
A quick look at the situation today, where generation in central and northern Queensland was constrained down in the middle of the day, driving prices higher.
A brief look at the outlook for QLD region this summer
A quick first look at the way the AEMO is currently seeing the supply/demand balance for the Queensland region through summer and Q1 2019 - with the "out...
Crunch Coming–oversupply in northern Queensland?
Some conversations with new generation developers about their prospective developments in northern Queensland has prompted some analysis to help them understand the size of the addressable market for...
Villain #6–reaching for (or believing in) a “Magic Wand”
We've noted what seems to be an increasing tendency of all of us to reach for some form of "magic wand" as a cure-all for the vexed challenges...