On Thursday 23rd February, hot weather in SA drove 'Market Demand' to its highest level in just over 9 years, and delivered a bit of spot price volatility. We investigate....
On Tuesday 21st February 2023 the AEMO published an update on its 2022 ESOO.
Drawing from GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q4 2022, and the next version of our ez2view software, we take a look at the *current* expectations for closure of Liddell Power Station (within weeks) and Eraring...
A quick post about some evening volatility in VIC and SA
Following an Executive Briefing last week to one client, this week we released the PDF Report for GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q4 2022. Here's some information to explain what it is.
A quick look at how Market Demand peaked on a hot Sunday afternoon/evening in QLD.
News of the arrival of another high cost replacement component (generator stator) at Callide C4 prompts me to have an updated look ... with a new feature in ez2view.
Prices have subsided somewhat at the time of publication, but here's a record of some volatility earlier this evening in South Australia.
(Not even) close ... but no cigar. Actual level of Market Demand in QLD for 17:30 is about 10% below what the most extreme forecast thought it might be.
Today (Fri 3rd February 2023) is an illustration of the inherent difficulties in 'successfully' forecasting electricity demand!
Second price spike in QLD today above $1,000/MWh ... with more to continue?
The rain and cloud cover is delivering (amongst other things) a faster-than-expected drop in aggregate solar production in QLD.
Another article today presenting 12 hours of history of System Frequency (to ~14:00 on Friday 3rd February 2023) with a few questions added. Comments welcome!
AEMO starts the Reserve Trader process for the QLD region this evening (Fri 3rd Feb 2023).
A quick article for Friday (3rd Feb 2023) morning, looking ahead to this evening and what AEMO's current forecasts are saying for this evening.
A quick Thursday morning look at changing forecasts for Friday evening in QLD.
A quick recap of some market volatility (and other developments) in QLD on Monday 31st January 2023
Second article (on Tuesday 31st Jan 2023) looking forward towards a tight supply-demand balance forecast for the QLD region on Friday evening 3rd February 2023.
Following a focused effort over the past two months, we've released the updated statistical record of operations in Australia's National Electricity Market ... the Generator Statistical Digest 2022 (GSD2022)
Second article this week about a forecast LOR2 Low Reserve Condition that has arisen for QLD this Friday 3rd February (coincident with what would be a new all-time record for peak demand).