AER circulates letter to remind generators of compliance obligations
Lynne Gallagher highlighted this reminder sent out to all generators from the AER, and we thought it worthwhile copying over to WattClarity here.
Articles by Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients.
Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.
15:20 forecasts for LOR3 (load shedding) across the NEM for today, tomorrow (Wed 15th) and Thursday 16th June
An update on this morning's forecasts from AEMO, published on WattClarity at ~12:00 Tuesday 14th June
When can we hope to see the return of some of these coal units?
A quick look (for Tue 14th June) of which of the coal units are expected to return to service in the coming week.
11am forecasts for LOR3 (load shedding) across the NEM for Tuesday 14th June 2022
A first look today at what's forecast for load shedding this evening (some very large numbers for both QLD and NSW).
TAS spot price at $15,100/MWh with near-record Market Demand … and NEM-wide IRPM hits a low of 4.33% Tuesday morning
Second article this morning, highlighting the very tight supply-demand balance.
Tuesday morning’s first update – including this evening’s forecast LOR3 (load shedding) in NSW
First update on Tuesday 14th June ... with load shedding still forecast for this evening in NSW
South Australia and then Victoria follow NSW in joining QLD on Administered Pricing
All four mainland regions of the NEM are now under Administered Pricing ... with SA and then VIC joining NSW and QLD in quick succession Monday evening 13th...
Highlighting Coopers Gap Wind Farm rebid on Sunday evening 12th June 2022
Will need more time to think why Coopers Gap WF would bid in this way on Sunday evening with 'Actual LOR2' notices at play.
A quick review of yo-yo instance number 3 (after 22:00 on Sunday 12th June 2022)
A quick look, in between times, at 'Incidence 03' ... which occurred after 22:00 on Sunday 12th June 2022.
IRPM on a NEM-wide basis drops down to 9% again, at 20:05
The IRPM has dropped again this evening, with drops in Available Generation outpacing drops in Demand.
Is South Australia or Victoria next to the CPT … with Administered Pricing also in NSW?
With NSW under Administered Pricing now (
Steps taken by AEMO, so we could (hopefully!) dodge the LOR3 bullet this evening
Copying in this quick update from the AEMO.
NSW smashes past Cumulative Price Threshold on Monday evening 13th June 2022
NSW has joined QLD by exceeding the Cumulative Price Threshold ... and now Administered Pricing to begin.
AEMO cancels forecast load shedding (LOR3) in the QLD region for this evening
Small celebration!
IRPM drops to only 8% NEM-wide
As demand climbs into the evening the IRPM is dropping.
NEM-wide IRPM down to only 13%
It's 17:30 and the white knuckle ride through this evening begins...
Actual LOR2 in the QLD Region
Another update late this afternoon, with Actual LOR2 in place.
The vast disconnect between prices DUIDs say they need to run, and market capped prices
Two copies of the 'NEM Prices' widget in ez2view highlights a disconnect.
One more factor to consider … wind harvest drops under 1,000MW on Monday evening, NEM wide
Adding to the complexity of a dire supply-demand balance, aggregate production from wind has dropped below 1000MW today.
Update on AEMO’s forecasts for load shedding – QLD and NSW, today and tomorrow
In what is a rapidly evolving situation, we see here another update from the AEMO ... extending forecast load shedding into NSW for tomorrow evening as well.