In today's article (a third snippet from GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q4 2022) we take a look at levels of large 'Aggregate Raw Off-Target' (i.e. large collective deviations away from Target), which continue to...
Here on this site, and also in real discussions in the offline world, we have been pondering this question for a number of years. For instance, it was pondered in Theme 13 (‘What’s the...
Another quick article today - this to record the rare use of coal in the UK on a cold evening with insufficient other supply.
A short article today noting the additional delays in return-to-service expectations for both Callide C3 and C4.
On Monday afternoon 6th March 2023 a late burst of summer in NSW has driven Market Demand above 13,000MW.
This second excerpt from GenInsights 2022 Q4 Update highlights some of what's seen in terms of the performance of coal units.
Could be a hot one in (Sydney and) NSW on Monday 6th March 2023 ... with AEMO forecasting potential LOR2 low reserve condition.
Prompted by the massive loss reported by CLP for its EnergyAustralia business, and plans for major outages for 4 units at Yallourn, we took a quick look using ez2view at outage plans.
This first excerpt from GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q4 2022 looks specifically at the trended level of adoption of self-forecasting for Semi-Scheduled Solar Farms in the NEM. This article on Monday 26th February 2023...
Today, more than 14 months after the publication of GenInsights21 we're sharing Key Observation 15 of 22, relating to self-forecasting for Semi-Scheduled units.
On Thursday 23rd February, hot weather in SA drove 'Market Demand' to its highest level in just over 9 years, and delivered a bit of spot price volatility. We investigate....
On Tuesday 21st February 2023 the AEMO published an update on its 2022 ESOO.
Drawing from GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q4 2022, and the next version of our ez2view software, we take a look at the *current* expectations for closure of Liddell Power Station (within weeks) and Eraring...
A quick post about some evening volatility in VIC and SA
Following an Executive Briefing last week to one client, this week we released the PDF Report for GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q4 2022. Here's some information to explain what it is.
A quick look at how Market Demand peaked on a hot Sunday afternoon/evening in QLD.
News of the arrival of another high cost replacement component (generator stator) at Callide C4 prompts me to have an updated look ... with a new feature in ez2view.
Prices have subsided somewhat at the time of publication, but here's a record of some volatility earlier this evening in South Australia.
(Not even) close ... but no cigar. Actual level of Market Demand in QLD for 17:30 is about 10% below what the most extreme forecast thought it might be.
Today (Fri 3rd February 2023) is an illustration of the inherent difficulties in 'successfully' forecasting electricity demand!