As at 07:35 – P30 for ‘Market Demand’ in QLD for Monday 22nd Jan 2024 still forecast a new all-time maximum

A short (and first) article this morning, in a day where I expect there will be quite a few – given weather and so market conditions in the QLD region of the NEM.

Here’s an updated view of the 2 x ‘Forecast Convergence’ widget display in ez2view at 07:35 NEM time:

2024-01-22-at-07-35-ez2view-ForecastConvergence

We saw (early Sunday afternoon) that ‘AEMO’s current forecast sees 3.5 hours in QLD with ‘Market Demand’ above 10,000MW on Mon 22nd Jan 2024’ – well, by ‘looking up a vertical’ in the window shown above, we see that the forecast is now that

1)  there’d be a span of 3 hours with ‘Market Demand’ above 10,000MW;

2)  and that (in the forecast shown here, produced for 07:30 Monday morning) the peak would be 10,303MW at 17:30

… remembering Tripwire #1 and Tripwire #2 in relation to AEMO’s P30 predispatch forecast process

3)  which would still mean a new all-time record for QLD ‘Market Demand’ .

4)  Also shown (on the left) are the forecasts for LOR1 Low Reserve Condition for QLD this evening.

 

Stay tuned ….


About the Author

Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients. Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.

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