Forecasts for a hot Monday 6th March in NSW, and potential LOR2 in the evening (now also Tuesday evening)
Could be a hot one in (Sydney and) NSW on Monday 6th March 2023 ... with AEMO forecasting potential LOR2 low reserve condition.
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The NEMs frequency behaviour – how is it going?
Following recent online discussions, Bruce Miller has produced this in-depth analysis of frequency behavior in th NEM.
A quick look at EnergyAustralia’s outage plans for Yallourn Power Station
Prompted by the massive loss reported by CLP for its EnergyAustralia business, and plans for major outages for 4 units at Yallourn, we took a quick look using...
Some revelations in GenInsights Q4 2022 about Self-Forecasting
This first excerpt from GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q4 2022 looks specifically at the trended level of adoption of self-forecasting for Semi-Scheduled Solar Farms in the NEM. This...
Observation 15/22 from GenInsights21 – what is the purpose of Self-Forecasting?
Today, more than 14 months after the publication of GenInsights21 we're sharing Key Observation 15 of 22, relating to self-forecasting for Semi-Scheduled units.
Recapping Thursday 23rd Feb 2023 (when hot weather drove demand in South Australia highest in 9 years)
On Thursday 23rd February, hot weather in SA drove 'Market Demand' to its highest level in just over 9 years, and delivered a bit of spot price volatility....
Has adding wind and solar upped the need for FCAS in the NEM?
Allan O'Neil digs through historic FCAS enablement and utilisation levels to examine whether there is an increasing trend in recent years.
AEMO publishes an Update to the 2022 ESOO
On Tuesday 21st February 2023 the AEMO published an update on its 2022 ESOO.
Current expectation for closure dates of Liddell and Eraring Power Stations
Drawing from GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q4 2022, and the next version of our ez2view software, we take a look at the *current* expectations for closure of Liddell...
Price volatility in VIC and SA on a warm summer evening, Thursday 16th February 2023
A quick post about some evening volatility in VIC and SA
GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q4 2022 released
Following an Executive Briefing last week to one client, this week we released the PDF Report for GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q4 2022. Here's some information to explain...
Darwin to Dili: The contrasting challenges in Timor-Leste during an energy transition
Dan Lee provides this write-up of a recent study tour to Timor-Leste and reflects on lessons learned about how the transition is affecting developing nations.
QLD Market Demand reaches 9,512MW on a hot Sunday afternoon–12th February 2023
A quick look at how Market Demand peaked on a hot Sunday afternoon/evening in QLD.
RERT cost estimates released for 3 February 2023
Estimated RERT costs published, pushing past the market price cap for dispatched volumes.
Callide C4 generator stator is now at Callide Power Station
News of the arrival of another high cost replacement component (generator stator) at Callide C4 prompts me to have an updated look ... with a new feature in...
Spot volatility, and an Actual LOR1, in South Australia on Thursday 9th February 2023
Prices have subsided somewhat at the time of publication, but here's a record of some volatility earlier this evening in South Australia.
Weather! The cause of.. and solution to.. all the electricity market’s problems?
Dan Lee tracks the demand forecasts against the actual outcome in QLD last Friday afternoon. The final result was as much as ∼1,000MW lower than the maximum forecast...
Price/MWh Harvest in the 2022 Generator Statistical Digest
Nick Bartels of Greenview Strategic Consulting uses the price energy harvest metric from our GSD2022 data extract to examine the recent performance of each fuel type within the...
Investigating last Friday’s frequent frequency swings
Allan O'Neil provides an explainer about how small deviations in supply and demand are managed in the NEM, in order to help us understand the apparent swings in...
The GSD2022: A labour of love
David Leitch of ITK Services provides his top insights from the GSD2022, which he has used to look into generation mix, constraints and firming.