Steps taken by AEMO, so we could (hopefully!) dodge the LOR3 bullet this evening
Copying in this quick update from the AEMO.
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NSW smashes past Cumulative Price Threshold on Monday evening 13th June 2022
NSW has joined QLD by exceeding the Cumulative Price Threshold ... and now Administered Pricing to begin.
AEMO cancels forecast load shedding (LOR3) in the QLD region for this evening
Small celebration!
IRPM drops to only 8% NEM-wide
As demand climbs into the evening the IRPM is dropping.
NEM-wide IRPM down to only 13%
It's 17:30 and the white knuckle ride through this evening begins...
Actual LOR2 in the QLD Region
Another update late this afternoon, with Actual LOR2 in place.
The vast disconnect between prices DUIDs say they need to run, and market capped prices
Two copies of the 'NEM Prices' widget in ez2view highlights a disconnect.
One more factor to consider … wind harvest drops under 1,000MW on Monday evening, NEM wide
Adding to the complexity of a dire supply-demand balance, aggregate production from wind has dropped below 1000MW today.
Update on AEMO’s forecasts for load shedding – QLD and NSW, today and tomorrow
In what is a rapidly evolving situation, we see here another update from the AEMO ... extending forecast load shedding into NSW for tomorrow evening as well.
AEMO to trigger Reserve Trader (RERT)
AEMO may well trigger Reserve Trader
A quick review of yo-yo instance number 2 (pre 22:00 on Sunday 12th June 2022)
A short review of what we named 'Instance #2' in the yo-yo-ing of Available Generation after Administered Prices came into effect.
AEMC publishes ‘How to lodge a claim for compensation’
Might be useful to some of our readers...
Forecast LOR3 (load shedding) now spans NSW for Monday evening, 13th June … and QLD tomorrow (morning/evening) as well
The outlook continues to get worse and worse... forecast load shedding extended to NSW this evening and into QLD tomorrow as well.
The yo-yo cases of Available Generation in the QLD region through Sunday 12th June and Monday 13th June 2022
A quick tabular list of the 7 cases overnight where QLD saw 'Actual LOR2' and/or yo-yo Available Generation
AEMO’s updated forecast for load shedding this evening is up to 1,454MW (i.e. about the size of Brisbane)
AEMO's updated forecast for load shedding in QLD this evening is for an enormous amount (1,454MW)
AEMO’s forecast for load shedding in QLD on Monday evening grows more severe
Forecast load shedding in QLD this evening is growing more severe...
Desperate times call for desperate measures on Monday 13th June 2022 (constraints violating … increased risk of Voltage Collapse)
Here's one example of the steps being taken by AEMO (which would ordinarily be considered as not advisable) to match supply and demand in the NEM (and particularly...
AEMO forecasts LOR3 (i.e. controlled Load Shedding) for QLD on Monday evening 13th June 2022
AEMO's now forecasting load shedding for this evening ... Monday 13th June 2022
With Administered Pricing in QLD, overnight NEM activity enters the rabbit hole
First article on Monday 13th June 2022 with QLD under Administered Pricing - looking at not only QLD but also strange outcomes everywhere else...
Bizarre pricing continues outside of the QLD region
At 22:40 the price exceeds $10,000/MWh in NSW, VIC and SA ... with QLD under Administered Pricing.