2023 Gas Statement of Opportunities (GSOO) from the AEMO identifies that southern Australia’s gas supply is declining faster than projected demand
A short article to note the AEMO's release of the 2023 GSOO today and the subsequent media coverage.
All Posts
Splitting the ‘X5 constraint’ into two … double trouble?
From 08:00 (NEM time) this morning, the old 'X5 constraint' (i.e. formerly formally known as 'N^^N_NIL_3') has been split into two (i.e. addressing separately risk of tripping of either/both Bendigo to Kerang 220kV line...
Case Study of 17:05 on 27th October 2022 … part 3 … (+861MW AggROT – source of AvailGen)
In Part 3 of this Case Study, we look at the source of the Dispatch Interval Availability forecasts for these units at 17:05 on 27th October 2022 (i.e. Self-Forecast or something else, incl AWEFS/ASEFS).
Case Study of 17:05 on 27th October 2022 … part 2 … (+861MW AggROT – individual units)
In Part 2 of this Case Study, we look at those 15 x Semi-Scheduled units highlighted with large deviations (mostly under-performance) at 17:05 on 27th October 2022 in order to understand more.
Why capacity factor is an increasingly simplistic way to compare solar farm performance
Dan Lee explains why capacity factor could be becoming an increasingly less useful measure for comparing how different solar farms are performing and begins an exploration into some of the factors in play when...
Case Study of 17:05 on 27th October 2022 (+861MW AggROT for Semi-Scheduled units) … Part 1 of (an uncertain number)
In Part 1 of this Case Study, we start to look at the large collective under-performance across all Semi-Scheduled units (i.e. Wind and Large Solar) at 17:05 on 27th October 2022. More to come...
AER notice … ‘Market notice from the WEMDRA – Referral to dispute resolution panel’ … about scheduling error on 10th August 2022
A short note following on from the Scheduling Error experienced by AEMO on 10th August 2022.
Some revelations in GenInsights Q4 2022 about Aggregate Raw Off-Target for Semi-Scheduled units
In today's article (a third snippet from GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q4 2022) we take a look at levels of large 'Aggregate Raw Off-Target' (i.e. large collective deviations away from Target), which continue to...
Observation 13/22 from GenInsights21 – is the Semi-Scheduled category sustainable or scalable?
Here on this site, and also in real discussions in the offline world, we have been pondering this question for a number of years. For instance, it was pondered in Theme 13 (‘What’s the...
Coal generation gets a run in the UK to ensure supply meets demand
Another quick article today - this to record the rare use of coal in the UK on a cold evening with insufficient other supply.
Guest Authored Posts
The challenge of imperfect foresight: Storage operation in a highly renewable NEM
Josh Boegheim from Powerlink discusses the limitations of perfect foresight assumptions for system planning—and shares results from a recent study that simulated energy storage dispatch using deterministic and stochastic forecasting approaches.
The growing NEM BESS fleet: Who is controlling all this capacity, anyway?
Matt Grover from Fluence shares insights into the NEM's growing big battery fleet and what it means for the market and their operators. This article follows on from his keynote at the ESS two...
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