Cloud impacts on demand, a review of NSW on 29 February 2024
The Russ Christ Effect can be described as cloud impacts on rooftop PV arriving before any associated cooling conditions. We consider the extent to which a sudden and...
2024-02-29 NSW tight supply demand
A series of articles beginning several days before Thursday 29th February 2024 (where forecasts were published of ‘Market Demand’ above 13,000MW, and stubborn LOR1 low reserve condition for NSW), leading into what actually happened on the day.
Stanwell unit 1 still (mostly) running Fixed Load (Part 2) … but took time for a TTHL test on Wed 6th March 2024
A short note recording the 'trip to house load' (TTHL) test at Stanwell unit 1 on Wednesday 6th March 2024 ... using the same parts of the plant...
Curtailment of Large Solar in NSW on Thursday afternoon 29th Feb 2024 exacerbated the price volatility
A quick look back at Thu 29th Feb 2024 - a day where afternoon (congestion-based) curtailment of Large Solar in NSW exacerbated the tight supply-demand balance and spot...
So where does NSW peak demand on Thu 29th Feb 2024 sit in historical context?
Putting the high demand seen in NSW on Thu 29th Feb 2024 in historical context.
So how much did Eraring Power Station supply, of the NSW electricity consumption, at peak demand time on Thursday 29th February 2024?
Last article (on the day) about Thu 29th Feb 2024. Prompted by an AFR article just over 24 hours ago, how large was the contribution of Eraring Power...
NSW ‘Underlying Demand’ peaks at 15,100MW at 15:00 (NEM time) on Thu 29th Feb 2024
Pulling together an estimate for 'Underlying Demand' in NSW for Thursday 29th February 2024, it was very big - and occurred earlier than the peak in 'Market Demand',...
NSW ‘Market Demand’ peaks at 13764MW
At 16:35 on Thu 29th Feb 2024 the NSW demand peaked at its highest point in summer 2023-24.
A first look at the NSW price spike at 15:10 (NEM time) on Thu 29th Feb 2024
Took a first look at the 15:10 price spike to the $16,600/MWh Market Price Cap in NSW on Thu 29th Feb 2024.
NSW hit with first wave of price spikes as demand continues to climb towards 14,000 MW on Thu 29th Feb 2024
We've already witnessed four price spikes this afternoon as demand in NSW is approaching its expected peak. P5 forecasts are currently projects prices to remain at very elevated...
‘Market Demand’ in NSW above 13,000MW in mid afternoon Thu 29th Feb 2024
A mid-afternoon update about NSW on Thu 29th Feb 2024.
The forecast LOR2 is gone, but forecasts for spicy prices remain for NSW on Thu 29th Feb 2024
It's early afternoon so here's a quick look at forecasts for NSW on Thursday evening 29th Feb 2024.
Still a forecast LOR2 for NSW on Thursday 29th February 2024, but not as severe as earlier forecasts
AEMO current forecasts (at early afternoon Wed 28th Feb) still show a tight supply-demand balance in NSW for Thu 29th Feb afternoon/evening, but not as severe.
Both Tarong units back online ~3 hours later
Following the earlier trips ... TARONG#1 has come online, closely followed by TARONG#2.
Two units at Tarong come offline Wednesday morning 28th Feb 2024 … not planned in advance
TARONG#1 has come offline from close to minimum load this morning, closely followed by TARONG#2 (also from close to minimum load) - Wednesday 28th February 2024
The forecast LOR2 for NSW on Thursday 29th February 2024 grows more extreme…
AEMO updated forecasts for LOR2 in NSW (and now QLD) for Thursday 29th Feb 2024 are now more severe than the earlier forecasts.
Stubborn forecasts for LOR2 (low reserve condition) for NSW for Thursday evening 29th February 2024
A Tuesday morning article, looking ahead to forecasts of LOR2 (tight supply-demand balance) for NSW on Thursday evening 29th February 2024
Thursday 29th February 2024 could be a (relatively) high demand day in NSW
A quick look forward (from Sun 25th Feb) towards Thursday 29th Feb 2024 in NSW