Quick Friday morning look-ahead to Friday evening in QLD
A quick article for Friday (3rd Feb 2023) morning, looking ahead to this evening and what AEMO’s current forecasts are saying for this evening.
Seasonal Record of Events in the Market
Collections of events that we see happening in the NEM, categorised in terms of the seasons in which they occur.
Thursday morning look ahead to forecasts for tomorrow (Friday 3rd Feb) evening in Queensland
A quick Thursday morning look at changing forecasts for Friday evening in QLD.
Forecasts pointing to record demand and other risks in QLD for Friday afternoon.. but caveats aplenty
Our fourth article looking forward to this Friday afternoon (3rd February 2023) in the Queensland region, where successive AEMO STPASA forecast data is showing considerable variability about what peak demand might be for the QLD region (it *might*, if predictions turn into reality, smash the prior all-time record). Dan Lee looks into how the demand forecast has been evolving and what to watch for this Friday afternoon.
A burst of heat and volatility in QLD on Tuesday 31st January 2023
A quick recap of some market volatility (and other developments) in QLD on Monday 31st January 2023
Tuesday afternoon look at the (escalating) forecast for Friday 3rd February 2022 … but later the forecast LOR2 was cancelled, and then reinstated
Second article (on Tuesday 31st Jan 2023) looking forward towards a tight supply-demand balance forecast for the QLD region on Friday evening 3rd February 2023.
Forecast LOR2 (and new record demand) for QLD region on Friday 3rd February
Second article this week about a forecast LOR2 Low Reserve Condition that has arisen for QLD this Friday 3rd February (coincident with what would be a new all-time record for peak demand).
Might see more price volatility this week … at least in QLD?
With Brisbane feeling more like a ‘normal’ summer in recent days, we took a look at the demand forecast for the coming week.
Coal crunch within sight, with Eraring scheduled closure in 19th August 2025
One other thing noticed this morning was the scheduled drop in coal availability in spring 2025 (not just because of Eraring’s scheduled closure).
Expected Return to Service date for Callide C3* slips further back, to 30th June 2023
A short article about a further delay in the expected return to service date for Callide C3 (which is offline after suffering cooling tower failure).
A subdued start to summer 2022-23
It’s been quite quiet on a price alert front so far this summer … here’s one reason why.
South Australia’s Energy Minister triggers the Retailer Reliability Obligation (RRO) for SA in Q1 2026
A release from the AER states that SA’s Minister for Energy and Mining has triggered the RRO (and hence MLO) in South Australia for Q1 2026.
‘NEM Local Temperature Alert’ for Port Augusta on Monday 26th December 2022
A short note about AEMO’s MN104622 … with a high temperature warning for Port Augusta for 26th December 2022.
Kogan Creek returned to service on Tuesday 20th December 2022
CS Energy’s Kogan Creek restarted on the morning of Tuesday 20th December 2022.
Return to service expectation for Callide C3 is (still) 11th February 2023
No change in return-to-service expectation for Callide C3.
Victorian minimum demand drops lower on Sunday 18th December 2022
A series of SMS alerts today, whilst I was out-and-about prompted me to take a look at the new low point for Victorian minimum demand on Sunday 18th December 2022.
Spot volatility in the NSW region on Monday morning, 12th December 2022
First day back in the NEM after a break and I see the that the ‘N-RVYS_2’ Constraint Set is contributing to morning price volatility in the NSW region again.
Brief but sudden drop of ~1,740 MW of wind and solar generation across the NEM this afternoon Monday 5th December 2022
An email alert notified me of a sudden drop in wind and solar generation (primarily in VIC and SA) at around 3pm this afternoon.
The Administered Price Cap has increased to $600/MWh as of today 1st December 2022
A rule change increasing the Administered Price Cap from $300/MWh to $600/MWh, submitted by Alinta Energy, has come into effect today.
Callide C3’s return to service pushed back to February 2023
QLD looks like it will be without Callide’s C3 unit until at least February 2023.
Administered Pricing ends for FCAS in SA on Saturday 26th November 2022
Administered Pricing has ended for FCAS in SA after roughly 12 days.