Peak summer demand in Tasmania has been consistent (but AEMO’s forecasts vary)
A few quick pointers (on New Year’s Eve) about where peak demand might land this summer in Tasmania – so you have a chance at winning Competition #6
Tasmania
CORRECTION – Tamar Valley is not mothballed, just bid unavailable
A correction about Tamar Valley’s drop in production – and some further thoughts.
Another station down – to what extent due to local factors?
Despite consistently averaging monthly output of up to 200MW for a number of years, the Tamar Valley power station has been mothballed following an ownership change
A chilly autumn morning drives demand higher in Tasmania
Tasmania shivers this morning, driving electricity demand higher
A stinker today in the south – but demand barely wakes from the holiday slumber (and yet prices explode!)
A preliminary look at a number of events that happened today, leading to prices spiking to the Market Price Cap in a number of regions, Demand Side Response being very active, and trading desks being very busy.
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Following the weather warning, what’s the demand outlook in the south?
With a severe weather warning issued for much of Australia (with Sydney and Brisbane almost being the only exceptions) and lasting several days, it’s timely to look at what AEMO is forecasting demand to be in the week ahead.
First price spike of Winter 2011
Some quick notes, and images, of a price spike in TAS this morning.
Tassie price spike on Sunday
Some quick notes about a price spike this evening in Tasmania.
How helpful was NEMMCOs PASA process in predicting the demand spike on 29 January 2009 (part2)
Some further analysis of the MT PASA and ST PASA forecasts for other regions of the NEM (SA, TAS, NSW and QLD) for the day of 29th January 2009 – when a new record NEM-wide demand was established.
Price cap lifted, and Tassie price spikes again
We reported previously that a price cap was invoked in Tasmania on Tuesday 16th June because the Cumulative Price Threshold was reached. In official terminology, this was an Administered Price Period (APP). At 04:00AM this morning, NEMMCO released a market notice advising the market that the APP had been lifted…
Tassie hits the Cumulative Price Threshold
For only the third occasion in the 10 1/2 years that the NEM has been operational, the Cumulative Price Threshold (CPT) has been reached. Yesterday evening, the CPT was reached in the Tasmanian region.
Weekly summary of events in Summer 2006-2007
We compiled a week-by-week summary of interesting events that occurred in the NEM – from 19th November 2006 through until 16th January 2007 (the day of the blackout).
7th February 2006 – price spike in Tasmania
This week saw very low average prices across the NEM (below $21/MWh average across the week in all mainland regions).
Except for 2 half-hours in Tasmania on Tuesday 7th February (when the price rose to just over $1,000/MWh), prices in Tasmania remained at and around $30/MWh for the whole week.
23rd January 2006 – new record for peak NEM-Wide demand
Based on forecasts NEMMCO had been providing through their PASA process, we expected that it might prove that this week would deliver huge demand levels, and high prices.
Not to disappoint, the market did deliver high levels of demand in all regions:
(a) Peak demand levels were reduced somewhat from the huge levels the previous week in Victoria and South Australia;
(b) Demand levels were also still building to the record level to be experienced the following week in NSW;
(c) Peak demand levels in Queensland were fairly steady (and high) for most weeks of summer.
(d) In combination, a new NEM-wide peak demand target of 30,994MW was set on Monday 23rd January.