Electricity demand stopped declining after 2014 (on a NEM-wide, Annual Average basis)
A comment made by TransGrid at the Energy Networks 2018 conference today jolted me to update my (somewhat) outdated paradigm of declining demand.
Tasmania
A timely reminder of the need for *much* more diversity in wind harvest patterns
Alerted by our NEMwatch dashboard, I delve into the data and see a scary degree of correlation between the (very low) output of wind farms in south-east South Australia, and (similarly low) output from newer wind farms in northern NSW.
Update on “cost” of Tassie’s energy crisis
Some quick calcs to update a ball-park estimate on the cost of the Tasmanian energy crisis
Diesel gensets start popping up across Tasmania
The first of the diesel gensets startup in Tasmania, and make their way into the data feed.
Some thoughts on the shaky state of Tassie electricity supply
Recapping what I’ve learnt (and highlighting some of the things I have yet to learn) about the electricity supply crisis currently facing Tasmania
Early winter chills power Tassie demand
A quick look at how the early winter chills are driving demand in Tasmania to levels not seen for 4 years
Winning a consolation prize (Comp #6) for Tasmanian peak demand
Who wins a consolation prize today, being closest to the flag in forecasting peak Tassie demand?
Tassie’s “summer” demand peak comes with cold weather?
Today we have a look at what mark Tasmania reached with peak demand over “extended summer” 2014-15
Significant trip of Tasmanian demand this morning
A massive (60%) instantaneous reduction in Tassie’s electricity demand in the early hours of this morning caught our attention.
Peak summer demand in Tasmania has been consistent (but AEMO’s forecasts vary)
A few quick pointers (on New Year’s Eve) about where peak demand might land this summer in Tasmania – so you have a chance at winning Competition #6
CORRECTION – Tamar Valley is not mothballed, just bid unavailable
A correction about Tamar Valley’s drop in production – and some further thoughts.
Another station down – to what extent due to local factors?
Despite consistently averaging monthly output of up to 200MW for a number of years, the Tamar Valley power station has been mothballed following an ownership change
A chilly autumn morning drives demand higher in Tasmania
Tasmania shivers this morning, driving electricity demand higher
A stinker today in the south – but demand barely wakes from the holiday slumber (and yet prices explode!)
A preliminary look at a number of events that happened today, leading to prices spiking to the Market Price Cap in a number of regions, Demand Side Response being very active, and trading desks being very busy.
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Following the weather warning, what’s the demand outlook in the south?
With a severe weather warning issued for much of Australia (with Sydney and Brisbane almost being the only exceptions) and lasting several days, it’s timely to look at what AEMO is forecasting demand to be in the week ahead.
First price spike of Winter 2011
Some quick notes, and images, of a price spike in TAS this morning.
Tassie price spike on Sunday
Some quick notes about a price spike this evening in Tasmania.
How helpful was NEMMCOs PASA process in predicting the demand spike on 29 January 2009 (part2)
Some further analysis of the MT PASA and ST PASA forecasts for other regions of the NEM (SA, TAS, NSW and QLD) for the day of 29th January 2009 – when a new record NEM-wide demand was established.
Price cap lifted, and Tassie price spikes again
We reported previously that a price cap was invoked in Tasmania on Tuesday 16th June because the Cumulative Price Threshold was reached. In official terminology, this was an Administered Price Period (APP). At 04:00AM this morning, NEMMCO released a market notice advising the market that the APP had been lifted…
Tassie hits the Cumulative Price Threshold
For only the third occasion in the 10 1/2 years that the NEM has been operational, the Cumulative Price Threshold (CPT) has been reached. Yesterday evening, the CPT was reached in the Tasmanian region.