Brief note about NSW price spike on Friday 23rd October 2020
Winding down through Beer O’clock at the end of a long week with the team and the buzzing of my phone distracts to a few successive price spikes this afternoon in the NSW Region:...
NSW
It’s good news that time-weighted average prices for Q2 2020 are down on prior years – right?
Spurred by a number of concurrent requests I've returned to the pattern of prior analysis of Q2 prices (completed in 2016, 2017 and 2018) to look at what's changed for Q2 2020 that's just...
13 headline questions and observations following the long-term islanding, starting Friday 31st January 2020
In order to help us (internally) map out all the different threads to explore in terms of what happened on Friday 31st January 2020 on a remarkable day in the NEM, I've identified a...
Out of the blue, another LOR2 – NSW region on Saturday 1st February 2020
With the benefit of more data available today, can piece together why there was the sudden drop into LOR2 territory on Saturday 1st February 2020 (something that alarmed me, and resulted in AEMO directing...
Hot weather and high demand continues, with actual LOR1 in NSW region at 13:55 on Saturday 1st February 2020
I’ve snuck into the office on Saturday to start the process of piecing together some of of the different aspects of what happened yesterday to follow on from Friday evening’s short article (this will...
White knuckle ride across the NEM on Friday 31st January 2020 (extreme NEM-wide demand)
Today (Fri 31 January 2020) saw NEM-wide demand reach levels never seen before (excepting 29th January 2009). This was just the start of the white knuckle ride.
A further look at Thursday Jan 30th
Guest author, Allan O'Neil does a masterful job with limited time in reviewing some of the goings-on in the NEM (particularly VIC and SA) on Thursday 30th January 2020
Buckle in folks, Friday afternoon/evening might be a bit bumpy
Published at 12:02, this is a view looking forward to the expected (very high) peak in electricity demand across the NEM this evening.
Thursday 30th January 2020 sees demand reach 34,257MW and LOR2 notice issued for both VIC and SA
A brief overview of a stressful afternoon/evening in the NEM, where a confluence of events (heatwave-driven high demand, low wind, coal unit trip, etc...) drive LOR2 low reserve condition notice in both VIC and...
Factors contributing to events in NSW on Thursday 23rd January 2020 – taking a closer look…
Today I managed to get about half-way (only!) through some analysis I wanted to do to 'scratch that itch' about what happened in the NSW Region on Thursday 23rd January - with LOR2 conditions...
RERT dispatched in NSW this afternoon, plus other things (at 15:55)
A quick 2nd article today looking at how Reserve Trader was dispatched (and a couple other complexities)
Shaky afternoon ahead for the NSW Region of the NEM (as at 12:05 on Thu 23rd Jan 2020)
Not looking crash hot for the NSW region this afternoon...
Monday’s NSW rain/hail storms also dampens solar output
Following yesterday's dust storms, today's rain (and hail) also sweep through NSW to dampen production from solar farms - small and large.
More details on the bushfire-driven extremes in the NSW Region of the NEM on Saturday 4th January
All I have time to do today, looking into more detail of what happened today .... but note that the challenge is still unfolding.
Bushfires under interconnectors through Snowy Mountains cause separation of NSW from VIC region
A quick summary of what's just happened this afternoon (15:10) with the separation of VIC-to-NSW interconnector due to bushfires that have been plaguing the NEM this summer...
Factors contributing to an unforeseen price spike in NSW at 16:15 on Thursday 31st January 2019
Taking a brief (well, actually longer than intended) look into the various factors that delivered a price spike above $10,000/MWh on Thursday 31st January in NSW - and thinking through the implications for one...
Taking a look at Saturday’s Islanding Event through 4 second SCADA data
Following on from Saturday's islanding event, we use our current interest in AEMO's 4-second SCADA data to prove a little more...
High electricity demand forecast for Queensland – on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday next week
Looks like being an interesting day on Wednesday next week (14th February 2018) with high temperatures currently forecast for parts of both QLD and NSW
How significant would it be, if Mt Piper were forced to close (at least temporarily)?
A quick look at the scale of the challenge, if Mt Piper were to be forced to close following a court challenge to coal supplies upstream
AEMO’s successive forecasts for NSW tomorrow paint a progressively WORSE picture
Here's an update on the situation in NSW